Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x830318296c8a4c8389d3f5ebaa791d8b5da5262ece03f32addd7dbb5146f79c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof MOUZ, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $191,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $235,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked MOUZ | 37c | 19,796$7,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,366.67 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed MOUZ | 40c | 18,750$7,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,496.26 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 15,555$9,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,222 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 11,057$7,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,005.57 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed MOUZ | 40c | 4,955$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.97 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed MOUZ | 37c | 4,384$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.02 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 3,913$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.22 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 3,717$2,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.27 | 52 | 80.8%42 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 3,485$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.45 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.33 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…e217backed MOUZ | 37c | 3,167$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.64 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 3,151$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.78 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked MOUZ | 35c | 2,930$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.32 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MOUZ | 35c | 2,633$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.08 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 2,324$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.41 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…f8fabacked MOUZ | 40c | 2,236$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Tundra Esports | 69c | 2,038$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.05 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed MOUZ | 25c | 2,025$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 2,011$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.6 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 1,975$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.75 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports | 78c | 1,900$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.87 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed MOUZ | 33c | 1,828$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.7 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 1,780$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 24c | 1,661$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.72 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed MOUZ | 37c | 1,400$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed MOUZ | 36c | 1,400$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 1,367$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.96 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 1,363$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.69 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed MOUZ | 27c | 1,279$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked MOUZ | 33c | 1,246$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports | 78c | 1,231$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.1 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed MOUZ | 31c | 1,214$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.15 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 1,168$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.2 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…1b61backed MOUZ | 3c | 1,100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 1,093$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.81 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed MOUZ | 1c | 1,075$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…7fdcbacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 1,010$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked MOUZ | 36c | 959$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.24 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…e75fbacked MOUZ | 7c | 950$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 137 | 32.8%45 W · 92 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 923.6$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.74 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…0263backed MOUZ | 2c | 878.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed MOUZ | 22c | 875.7$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.58 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eff…30d6backed MOUZ | 35c | 822.86$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed MOUZ | 37c | 817.7$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 809.89$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.56 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed MOUZ | 37c | 801.16$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef0…9bcabacked Tundra Esports | 71c | 765.55$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 27c | 758.41$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.95 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…901cbacked MOUZ | 33c | 748.14$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.89 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 746.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.37 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed MOUZ | 22c | 736.5$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.03 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x028a…f485backed MOUZ | 28c | 733.53$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ | 36c | 682.99$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.93 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 680$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed MOUZ | 36c | 657.8$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.81 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 627.96$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.63 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed MOUZ | 36c | 624.27$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.74 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed MOUZ | 32c | 623.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.78 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked MOUZ | 25c | 617$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.98 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x563b…774bbacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 604.59$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.59 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 599.99$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked MOUZ | 36c | 597.22$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…98f9backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe98e…a046backed MOUZ | 37c | 586.27$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.92 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 575.41$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.41 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb88…b1d7backed MOUZ | 41c | 560.03$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.15 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 554.98$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.9 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…d45fbacked MOUZ | 2c | 550$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked MOUZ | 40c | 547.89$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.16 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 541.67$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed MOUZ | 16c | 532.72$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.91 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 513.61$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.15 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked MOUZ | 41c | 512.62$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018c…9794backed MOUZ | 39c | 509.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed MOUZ | 35c | 504.59$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed MOUZ | 17c | 500$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.28 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…89d0backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 478.11$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.96 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 465.46$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.22 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed MOUZ | 23c | 460.18$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.65 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81c…a724backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 460$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…6f4dbacked MOUZ | 40c | 437$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 412$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.74 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…e194backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 402.55$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.47 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed MOUZ | 35c | 371.43$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 365.99$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.18 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdede…92d0backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 358.51$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.18 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 336.93$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.02 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed MOUZ | 22c | 330.59$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.96 | 127 | 20.5%26 W · 101 L | -22.6wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 330$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb279…2c15backed Tundra Esports | 79c | 320.07$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 310.36$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.73 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked MOUZ | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed MOUZ | 21c | 300$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…e1dcbacked MOUZ | 24c | 299.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…bb56backed MOUZ | 35c | 287.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 282$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.34 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2this page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)MOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.