TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Barcelona Open: Nuno Borges vs Adrian Mannarino

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nuno Borgesof Nuno Borges, Adrian Mannarino
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$161,722
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$176,821

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,722 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Adrian Mannarino10c13,432$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.968,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Adrian Mannarino5c12,381$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.011,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked Adrian Mannarino19c9,764$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.7316636.7%61 W · 105 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Adrian Mannarino18c8,122$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.7278536.1%283 W · 502 L+36.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Nuno Borges80c8,000$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60064755.2%357 W · 290 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Adrian Mannarino0c7,863$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.71,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e71…eba7backed Adrian Mannarino17c5,785$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.0312235.2%43 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Adrian Mannarino6c4,016$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.472,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeba5…56dfbacked Adrian Mannarino3c3,680$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2840%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Adrian Mannarino7c3,237$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.619737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f0…c7a9backed Adrian Mannarino1c2,570$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.31931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Adrian Mannarino20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40058232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Adrian Mannarino19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.9958734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Adrian Mannarino8c1,847$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3761924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6638…0b09backed Adrian Mannarino20c1,576$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.113455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Adrian Mannarino8c1,546$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.441,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Adrian Mannarino20c1,428$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.61,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Adrian Mannarino23c1,371$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30939534.4%136 W · 259 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Nuno Borges78c1,262$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.4646473.3%340 W · 124 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Adrian Mannarino2c1,034$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7620331%63 W · 140 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Adrian Mannarino20c952$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.41723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Adrian Mannarino5c834.63$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.354,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Adrian Mannarino3c742.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5990340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7820…5b79backed Adrian Mannarino7c674.43$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2120515.6%32 W · 173 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Adrian Mannarino6c623.7$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1444229.6%131 W · 311 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Nuno Borges80c622.44$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.4914162.4%88 W · 53 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f10…c927backed Adrian Mannarino11c619.46$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1710543.8%46 W · 59 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Adrian Mannarino9c546.57$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2681933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Adrian Mannarino20c521.7$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3420040%80 W · 120 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Adrian Mannarino19c488.93$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8434847.1%164 W · 184 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Adrian Mannarino7c465.63$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5912735.4%45 W · 82 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a5…c965backed Nuno Borges76c454.95$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.193461.8%21 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Adrian Mannarino19c417.28$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1636944.4%164 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Adrian Mannarino3c417.01$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2448637.7%183 W · 303 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Adrian Mannarino13c411.47$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.443,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Adrian Mannarino20c340.82$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.161,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Adrian Mannarino4c338.55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.151,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Adrian Mannarino8c306.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.17,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd07…8d16backed Nuno Borges80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606354%34 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf23a…df6fbacked Adrian Mannarino13c300$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3851252.1%267 W · 245 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Adrian Mannarino20c279.17$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.141,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Nuno Borges80c247$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.459165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Adrian Mannarino20c238$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.678152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68af…ca81backed Adrian Mannarino18c235.16$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3321720.3%44 W · 173 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Adrian Mannarino7c229.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0834136.4%124 W · 217 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed Adrian Mannarino13c202$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.262138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Nuno Borges80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a7c…3016backed Adrian Mannarino20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403821.1%8 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc669…53eabacked Nuno Borges79c197.79$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.547266.7%48 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Adrian Mannarino21c166.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8725342.7%108 W · 145 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Adrian Mannarino20c161.84$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3714744.2%65 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Nuno Borges80c155.65$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.131,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Adrian Mannarino7c154.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.338729.9%26 W · 61 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-40.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Adrian Mannarino20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029230.5%89 W · 203 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ef…468bbacked Adrian Mannarino25c142.4$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.613450%67 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Nuno Borges80c142.03$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4135268.2%240 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Adrian Mannarino17c136.19$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.653,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Nuno Borges78c123.38$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.648552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Adrian Mannarino19c100.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0315229.6%45 W · 107 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Adrian Mannarino18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,16849.1%573 W · 595 L-2.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Adrian Mannarino24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3328442.3%120 W · 164 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Adrian Mannarino24c99.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Nuno Borges75c98.5$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6277967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Nuno Borges66c97.64$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.972,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d4…a6d2backed Adrian Mannarino17c96.95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.931931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Adrian Mannarino25c95.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.889257.6%53 W · 39 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc65…d8d1backed Adrian Mannarino20c95.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.041136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-42.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58db…6901backed Adrian Mannarino20c95.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0411247.3%53 W · 59 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Adrian Mannarino20c89.54$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.191,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Nuno Borges79c79.83$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.163,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Adrian Mannarino16c77.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4681457%464 W · 350 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed Nuno Borges67c74.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.494045%18 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Adrian Mannarino16c72.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5558453.1%310 W · 274 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Adrian Mannarino20c62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6735559.4%211 W · 144 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Adrian Mannarino17c60$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.24,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Adrian Mannarino20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x63c4…26f2backed Adrian Mannarino21c48.49$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1817145.6%78 W · 93 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Nuno Borges74c47.88$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.451,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Nuno Borges77c35.55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.188555.3%47 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Nuno Borges75c34.15$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.541,02157.8%590 W · 431 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…3f92backed Nuno Borges80c31.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2522482.6%185 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick80cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdff6…0918backed Nuno Borges74c26.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8449857%284 W · 214 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa22…8f42backed Nuno Borges80c23.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2917…a884backed Nuno Borges66c16.65$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.661662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc15c…a6b0backed Nuno Borges74c14.77$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7728758.5%168 W · 119 L-1.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.