Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Borges (-1.5) vs Mannarino (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x266d9fbdaf05ec433f9d4e6181139c0fc416f57fa962e299354511cc650b18ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Borgesof Borges, Mannarino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Mannarino | 42c | 2,865$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.75 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Borges | 60c | 2,125$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Mannarino | 40c | 1,735$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.08 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Mannarino | 39c | 655.63$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Mannarino | 43c | 498.5$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.42 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Borges | 60c | 472.07$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.2 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Borges | 57c | 345.43$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.54 | 287 | 62.4%179 W · 108 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Borges | 60c | 324.62$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.4 | 188 | 68.6%129 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e12…0ae4backed Borges | 57c | 264.91$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.91 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Mannarino | 43c | 197.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.14 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Borges | 57c | 194.84$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.78 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb32…787dbacked Borges | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Borges | 64c | 153.71$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 509 | 52.1%265 W · 244 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Mannarino | 40c | 133.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Mannarino | 40c | 127.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Borges | 60c | 122$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Mannarino | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 346 | 37.9%131 W · 215 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Mannarino | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Mannarino | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Borges | 80c | 95.04$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Mannarino | 39c | 92.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Borges | 56c | 82.27$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…8cb3backed Borges | 56c | 71.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 104 | 71.2%74 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Mannarino | 27c | 70.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…9b83backed Borges | 57c | 68.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Borges | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Borges | 61c | 56.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Borges | 58c | 42.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…de01backed Borges | 60c | 35.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Borges | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 348 | 51.1%178 W · 170 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x319e…de42backed Borges | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Mannarino | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Mannarino | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9f34…1a46backed Borges | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c3…75abbacked Borges | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…a250backed Borges | 60c | 22.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Borges | 56c | 20.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Borges | 56c | 19.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Borges | 57c | 19.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Borges (-1.5) vs Mannarino (+1.5)this page
- Barcelona Open: Nuno Borges vs Adrian MannarinoNuno Borges won
- Set 1 Winner: Borges vs MannarinoBorges won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.