TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf27a…a250

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: MLB, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 52 out of 100; worst Cricket at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Cricket — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$24.18
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.33
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.92
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.92
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.44
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.81
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+141.6%+$334.73
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.41
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+156.6%+$136.61
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.99
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+126.7%+$79.38
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.42
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.65
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.71
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Gujarat Titansbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$27.3
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$65.96
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$40.08
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.71
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Punjab Kings - Completed match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$12.33
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.95
Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Francavilla: Justin Engel vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdobacked Justin Engel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.37
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Hugo Dellien vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+158.4%+$19.01
Madrid Open: Dino Prizmic vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Madrid Open, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$55.17
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$19.89
Set Handicap: Borges (-1.5) vs Mannarino (+1.5)backed Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.89
Barcelona Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.16
Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.86
BNP Paribas Open: Michael Zheng vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+47.1%+$7.06
BNP Paribas Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16.67
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+45.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.02
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+109.5%+$21.23
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$38.34
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$28.09
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.91
Ducks vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 10.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Charles Jourdain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$40.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NEC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.