TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-03-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,930

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,930 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb6d0…9b55backed Yes32c6,269$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.951435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-40.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No60c5,423$3,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,147.062,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dc6…eb4cbacked Yes62c1,951$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+65.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No42c1,941$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.5250644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf07…5129backed Yes49c1,907$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.285022%11 W · 39 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked Yes45c1,544$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.01955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Yes21c1,463$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.296520%13 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+165.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No51c1,456$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.5951750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed No40c1,395$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.188646.5%40 W · 46 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No54c1,088$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.061,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No22c1,025$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.3322458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes57c919.46$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.394,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked No78c773.8$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.89373.1%68 W · 25 L+17.6wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+51.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed No79c759.49$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.4910579%83 W · 22 L+22.7wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+54.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No53c671.07$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.442,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No69c666.3$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.51,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes78c600$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46777336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes47c425.52$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9911146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes61c410.04$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.591,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes46c365.87$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.31,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Yes17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518919.1%17 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ea1…f17ebacked No4c290.61$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.99812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick3cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ce0…2b8abacked Yes69c290$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012846.4%13 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-29.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c35…afa8backed No39c268.91$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aee…bddfbacked No13c246.85$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.761136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+75.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes74c236$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.5941343.3%179 W · 234 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No53c233.96$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.9675850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes32c203.07$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653534.3%12 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8811750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38ea…95d1backed No56c173.21$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6070…88a8backed Yes50c162$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812528%7 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No56c159.97$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.442,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Yes39c153.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604930.6%15 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked No7c150$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.5933.2%3 W · 90 L-0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No18c149.55$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.3796645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No21c128.26$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.066648.5%32 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No36c109.59$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.411727.4%32 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3542…24f0backed Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed No14c107$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.021838.9%7 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No76c105.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6945142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes45c105.6$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.521,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028950.9%147 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes46c101$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4672249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No55c100.21$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9489152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4910547.6%50 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5910949.5%54 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No54c81.75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.684549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes56c80.59$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1240821.8%89 W · 319 L-53.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed No54c74.55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2910750.5%54 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0710753.3%57 W · 50 L+11.6wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes31c66.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4422335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes46c65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.927846.4%129 W · 149 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No53c63.47$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6227051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf25a…d724backed No53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.61450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+29.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb226…4469backed Yes45c56.18$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.286847.1%32 W · 36 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No55c53.46$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0336554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No27c52$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7320956%117 W · 92 L+15.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes46c50.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.071,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0484…4830backed No53c46.87$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.034156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No54c45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.723250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No59c44.3$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3453344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027948%134 W · 145 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes46c43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.961,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…19e9backed Yes47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202015%3 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-48.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf27a…a250backed Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed Yes27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7287.1%2 W · 26 L-6.1wins-0.22per pick29cpaid-75.2%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x405b…7a9ebacked No40c39.9$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No37c36$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6843241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes56c35.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1619455.2%107 W · 87 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1feb…5d9abacked Yes48c35.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes46c32.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9732345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes45c31.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.271,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Yes47c31.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.629949.5%49 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1373…8262backed Yes47c30.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb475…978cbacked Yes53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163831.6%12 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked No40c27.9$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.744942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No54c25.44$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.696,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x97c1…b52bbacked No40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No49c24.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.457150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes46c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5815534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No69c21.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7631747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a6…44edbacked No55c21.81$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.813363.6%21 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4796…79fcbacked Yes52c20.11$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.393243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d4d…7fdbbacked No70c19.64$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No53c18.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9241040.5%166 W · 244 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.