Premier League · resolved market
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca06c175103dbe883b6afc55405c336172b75e94912b5dea2b257ea674d06760
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,828 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 29c | 5,236$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 2,373$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.86 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 15c | 1,791$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.11 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 1,499$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.69 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 1,237$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.76 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,075$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.77 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 26c | 1,010$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.7 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 72c | 604$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.12 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 564.71$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.21 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 541.95$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.05 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 27c | 369.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 23.2%26 W · 86 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 71c | 339.88$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 259.44$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.64 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 8c | 253.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…b673backed Yes | 7c | 218.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes | 7c | 203.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -67%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 128.57$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 125.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 27c | 116$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 11c | 101.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 74c | 88.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…8644backed Yes | 28c | 42.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 26c | 40.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed No | 73c | 34.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 75c | 31.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 73c | 29.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 74c | 25.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 21.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 209 | 56%117 W · 92 L | +15.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 74c | 17.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 15.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Birmingham City FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.