Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3ed6418602a6df901cbba88b6e250c0726db1acfc6aadb6f0143ed9af82c81a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Secret Whalesof Team Secret Whales, Deep Cross Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Deep Cross Gaming | 60c | 17,051$10,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,230.44 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Team Secret Whales | 40c | 9,675$3,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,805.95 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Deep Cross Gaming | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050 | 1,502 | 50.3%756 W · 746 L | +71.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Team Secret Whales | 40c | 4,830$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,902 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Team Secret Whales | 39c | 4,624$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.84 | 649 | 43.1%280 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Team Secret Whales | 39c | 1,070$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.7 | 293 | 38.6%113 W · 180 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Secret Whales | 40c | 659.87$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.92 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Deep Cross Gaming | 62c | 604.98$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.85 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Team Secret Whales | 38c | 462.55$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.99 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked Team Secret Whales | 40c | 331.8$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.08 | 111 | 27.9%31 W · 80 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Deep Cross Gaming | 62c | 312.31$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Deep Cross Gaming | 63c | 310.41$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.56 | 299 | 44.1%132 W · 167 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Team Secret Whales | 40c | 294.49$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.7 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Secret Whales | 36c | 270.58$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.17 | 1,182 | 44.8%530 W · 652 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Team Secret Whales | 38c | 266.26$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.08 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Team Secret Whales | 53c | 249.1$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.64 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Team Secret Whales | 44c | 220.06$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.43 | 128 | 34.4%44 W · 84 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Deep Cross Gaming | 49c | 216.17$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.86 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Deep Cross Gaming | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -8.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Deep Cross Gaming | 63c | 143.7$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.05 | 349 | 45.6%159 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Deep Cross Gaming | 61c | 125.07$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.29 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Team Secret Whales | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.59 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed Team Secret Whales | 38c | 76.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Team Secret Whales | 40c | 75.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Secret Whales | 36c | 55.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Deep Cross Gaming | 39c | 50.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 243 | 56%136 W · 107 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…71b3backed Deep Cross Gaming | 38c | 46.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Team Secret Whales | 37c | 44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 249 | 41.4%103 W · 146 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Team Secret Whales | 35c | 43.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed Team Secret Whales | 40c | 43.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 383 | 44.6%171 W · 212 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Team Secret Whales | 60c | 40.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Team Secret Whales | 34c | 36.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…47f4backed Team Secret Whales | 53c | 32.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Deep Cross Gaming | 48c | 28.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed Deep Cross Gaming | 63c | 27.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 394 | 45.2%178 W · 216 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Deep Cross Gaming | 63c | 26.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 234 | 43.2%101 W · 133 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Team Secret Whales | 40c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…a250backed Deep Cross Gaming | 65c | 22.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Deep Cross Gaming | 62c | 19.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Deep Cross Gaming | 61c | 16.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 504 | 56%282 W · 222 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+1.5)this page
- LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - LCP Regular SeasonTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.