TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,287
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,165

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,287 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb6d0…9b55backed Over60c10,314$6,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,165.025952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under64c8,739$5,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.643,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c45…0ac6backed Over28c8,494$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c7,156$3,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,564.784,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under38c5,639$2,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,484.9536850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under51c4,762$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,311.7229343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under40c4,279$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,559.371,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.957823.1%18 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over64c2,603$1,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.027847.4%37 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over61c2,572$1,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.21933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under38c2,220$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3741,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over51c1,756$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.141338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Over62c1,717$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.59963.6%63 W · 36 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under41c1,421$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.272,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under38c1,110$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.715932.7%52 W · 107 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under64c1,104$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.0874034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under37c1,087$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.8110558.1%61 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under37c976.85$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.663,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over43c939.39$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40031644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over53c899.51$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.7415141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over30c752.74$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.191,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under40c727.62$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.72,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under41c605.5$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.9723743.9%104 W · 133 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under43c604.38$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.9641451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb224…fedbbacked Over60c552$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over46c543.48$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508032.5%26 W · 54 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under40c499.78$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.313,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed26…6282backed Under78c491.41$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.11862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over59c416.66$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.832254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under41c414.44$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.2524653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe612…ee20backed Over62c403.23$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4363…d6e0backed Over60c400$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404440.9%18 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c385.17$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.4576048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over30c380.4$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.124528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2fc…a7c1backed Under40c354.6$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.761258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Over60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6b7…d2e3backed Over56c318.54$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.381643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over38c302.63$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11511221.4%24 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6496…09d0backed Under45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1656637.9%25 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over35c289.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8211027.3%30 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under38c288$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.481,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under36c277.51$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.6129646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over63c267.48$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.518955.1%49 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over40c260$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1044139%16 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over8c255$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.746536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f0…c7a9backed Under40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over61c245.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012254.1%66 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over42c239.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.829138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e0c…0d2bbacked Over46c229.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.81729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid+10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab7…0409backed Over18c225.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403315.2%5 W · 28 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-55.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under42c223.44$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4617158.5%100 W · 71 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under40c213.8$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7621953.4%117 W · 102 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over59c203.39$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011252.7%59 W · 53 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-16.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under52c189.23$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2750850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Over54c184.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.624161%25 W · 16 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over46c175.33$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.652138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4693…bf61backed Under74c166.94$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.681573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+25.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe828…82d1backed Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9579…44d4backed Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick68cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over62c160.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over53c149.96$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9850450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6724…9592backed Under75c146.15$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.541154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over50c130$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6511042.7%47 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under45c126.49$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8723751.1%121 W · 116 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over41c122.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.952,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over20c122.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.134,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under41c121.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.968237.8%31 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under48c113.78$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1725554.5%139 W · 116 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over64c112.08$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.732045%9 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked Over18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202619.2%5 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516535.2%58 W · 107 L+15.3wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Under54c101.85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.857248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over20c101$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.27532%24 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010841.7%45 W · 63 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619843.9%43 W · 55 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3915945.3%72 W · 87 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under40c99.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.999842.9%42 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Under75c94.18$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.633154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+36.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Over58c87.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0348140.1%193 W · 288 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over43c85.93$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374245.2%19 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf421…2e3abacked Under41c85.61$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.513158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under54c84.19$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3786455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb9b…49a7backed Over60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Over60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018769.5%130 W · 57 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x033a…586dbacked Over60c83.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502975.9%22 W · 7 L+5.6wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+36.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed Under55c80.44$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.246538.5%25 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8a4…5e83backed Over64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under43c75.42$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4323749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c16…c36fbacked Over13c75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4680…e592backed Over57c68.74$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.181741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x400e…374bbacked Over48c62.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.231050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Under70c61.8$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.545865.5%38 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under39c52.86$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2143653.7%234 W · 202 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked Over57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309667.7%65 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303461.8%21 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over58c49.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.236329.8%108 W · 255 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over62c49.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.996358.7%37 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020067.5%135 W · 65 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.