TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Norway vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,001
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,317

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,001 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb6d0…9b55backed Over51c6,310$3,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,218.15952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under36c6,199$2,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,938.164,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c6,140$2,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,172.2529343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87c8…9cfbbacked Over71c2,339$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,668.581963.2%12 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Over70c2,314$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.794266.7%28 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under18c2,230$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,828.594134.1%14 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+30.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under56c1,472$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.83,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under17c1,375$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.761,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under18c1,124$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.1936850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under19c1,026$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.8546536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb1f…6a93backed Over14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403842.1%16 W · 22 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick27cpaid+44.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa2dc…b624backed Over33c999.2$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.741526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over51c887.13$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.183647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Over62c773.73$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.79771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over66c759.98$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.999759.8%58 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under17c709.38$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.611,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Over52c629.03$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.273823.7%9 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9da…f7d9backed Over56c595.75$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.322751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over56c593.25$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.4815932.7%52 W · 107 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under18c523.2$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.772,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under16c451.11$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.943,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under27c394.97$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.334,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Over53c375.98$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.274161%25 W · 16 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e19…1495backed Over51c326.16$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.343450%17 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec0e…feedbacked Over63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under29c300.46$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.0817158.5%100 W · 71 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33ad…65f8backed Over37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over75c267.34$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008734.5%30 W · 57 L-8.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under17c266.95$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.573,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under18c265$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.32,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over20c210$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3522258.6%130 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c206.56$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.4476048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1163959%23 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over50c199.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x077f…ca20backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over68c187.42$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.992,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under51c184.85$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.791,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under13c179.96$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4240736.6%149 W · 258 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Over56c177.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over58c172.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011252.7%59 W · 53 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-16.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6602…7047backed Over63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003145.2%14 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under36c148.41$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6824653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under34c124.75$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8123751.1%121 W · 116 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under50c120.98$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3850850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59c8…d2c8backed Under51c101.59$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.11758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+59.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Over80c100$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012537.6%47 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x415d…a37cbacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under18c100$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.59842.9%42 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over71c99.98$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9915945.3%72 W · 87 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6c5…0d72backed Under18c98.44$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.631931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under41c98.23$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1486455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over28c97.26$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2328545.3%129 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ccb…6e97backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over53c84.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4582340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed Under47c75.08$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.866538.5%25 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Under57c68.42$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.426937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6711545.2%52 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307634.2%26 W · 50 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Under18c59.11$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4747935.1%168 W · 311 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0542…e195backed Over43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254042.5%17 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1835…83afbacked Over52c53.85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Over80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408170.4%57 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279347.3%44 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ca6…4beabacked Under20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick25cpaid+170.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Over71c46.65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1210351.5%53 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over44c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.836329.8%108 W · 255 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Under28c40.78$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.367266.7%48 W · 24 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e45…efefbacked Over75c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301250%6 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac61…be42backed Over62c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-71.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over79c37.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011775.2%88 W · 29 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xffa3…2302backed Over73c34.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick71cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015341.2%63 W · 90 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09b6…d33ebacked Over50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.053568.6%24 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+32.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed Under59c31.94$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.135761.4%35 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over49c30.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.152437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0079…b852backed Over73c30.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154623.9%11 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Under64c28.88$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.47857.7%45 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over71c27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.233836.8%14 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-41.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x550d…f1ffbacked Under50c24.2$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.12642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaebc…41f2backed Over61c21.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136361.9%39 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+23.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.22860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8cc…2e39backed Over78c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.610265.7%67 W · 35 L+11.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+23.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd421…8531backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Over71c19.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.045054%27 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb239…80b4backed Over77c14.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.