Fifa International · resolved market
Norway vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bcf941c99ee8dd33f5d2cbd849a2301fa01dc4fca7c4f3c8372cde32a87143d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 67c | 750.92$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.92 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Under | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 450.3$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 64c | 415.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.8 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Under | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Over | 28c | 349.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 61c | 328.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.09 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 62c | 312.55$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.77 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Under | 68c | 263.79$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.35 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 38c | 263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 68c | 258.4$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.84 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Under | 68c | 252.22$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.41 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 38c | 247.71$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.63 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 41c | 246.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 291 | 38.8%113 W · 178 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 78c | 240.07$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Over | 38c | 233.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 61c | 159.81$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 34c | 158.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Under | 76c | 130$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 37c | 126$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 69c | 122.1$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd39…600cbacked Under | 63c | 120$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 61c | 113.85$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.04 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 34c | 107.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 67c | 105.39$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 33c | 94.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 65c | 91.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 38c | 78.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Over | 19c | 76.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 64c | 74.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0c…0d2bbacked Over | 30c | 69.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 38c | 67.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 66.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Over | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 70c | 58.86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…5e83backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 37c | 34.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…2e3abacked Under | 67c | 33.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 69c | 33.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…0d4abacked Under | 65c | 30.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 62c | 30.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 34c | 30.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 387 | 45%174 W · 213 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked Under | 61c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48d5…59e2backed Under | 64c | 23.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f1…53f1backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5this page
- Norway vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Norway vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5Under won
- Norway vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5Under won
- Norway vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Norway won
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Norway won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.