TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,757
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,076

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,757 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x14f0…c7a9backed Over21c2,848$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,250.06333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+58.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c2,140$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.233,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over24c2,008$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,531.1811929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over61c1,972$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.742846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x417e…85e4backed Under5c1,900$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104147.1%1 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over15c1,898$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,613.257440.5%30 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf277…9a5fbacked Under79c1,708$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.312755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Under3c1,500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453327.3%9 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+158.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under76c1,420$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.465166.7%34 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over24c1,193$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.6810418.3%19 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10220%0 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16442.3%1 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-50.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Under79c874.91$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.1814549.7%72 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over10c788.3$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.4712470.2%87 W · 37 L+30.3wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+70%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over39c743.08$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.2837829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under55c728.8$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.0283444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under77c697.49$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.5974457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over10c630.64$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.5816363.8%104 W · 59 L+32.3wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+66.9%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under61c498.09$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.071,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over10c484.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.5117562.9%110 W · 65 L+32.1wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+64.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over61c480.3$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.329071.1%64 W · 26 L+10.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over47c397.52$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.6817541.1%72 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over24c394.58$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.1619344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ce0…6599backed Under8c350$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28244.2%1 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick12cpaid-75.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Over39c295.57$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.31952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Under15c294$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.19629.2%28 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under80c270.47$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.3822455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under80c270.47$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.3823456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under80c264.71$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.777954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Over48c263.36$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.084057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under57c215.23$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.6813251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over20c199.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.9916149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over61c198.12$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2735759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.381,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over60c196.23$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1311651.7%60 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over61c192.59$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.1120360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over61c192.36$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0228357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5545…9d86backed Under45c184.68$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.411827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-57.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over61c178$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4212875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Under10c160$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.48510.6%9 W · 76 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid+17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Under10c159.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.49611.5%11 W · 85 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb9d…8307backed Over52c158.84$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.292100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+142.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under63c149.96$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.120252%105 W · 97 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under76c146.33$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.691,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391c…ea3fbacked Over26c125.18$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.691040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Over24c119.18$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.582065%13 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5976…7f3fbacked Over60c118.75$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x834f…266ebacked Under14c100.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.761546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over25c95.73$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8549228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3622…083dbacked Over51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.633253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under67c93.03$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.994146.3%19 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Over22c90.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9748934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c88.57$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.21,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c2…abcbbacked Under66c74.11$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.981050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over33c72.71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7215451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Under68c64.91$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.143050%15 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Under79c62.49$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.375156.9%29 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over57c59.82$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.724052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over33c58.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.221070%7 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+41.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e08…19cabacked Over48c58.13$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.234271.4%30 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Over43c53$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1418062.2%112 W · 68 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under47c51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9745841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Over59c49.6$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.333842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under52c47.91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.096460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under59c44.72$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.266950.7%35 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over58c42.6$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9414850.7%75 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a2a…4be1backed Over50c42.2$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+58%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over46c41.82$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3928446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under76c40.35$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7327653.6%148 W · 128 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e35…ee1abacked Under68c36.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.521752.9%9 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick71cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over59c31.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9616865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under80c30.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.711566.1%76 W · 39 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ece…068abacked Under67c30.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.452259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under76c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.85244.2%23 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0a…50adbacked Over56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.21457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick62cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46aa…09debacked Over54c28.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over46c27.08$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.55036%18 W · 32 L-8.5wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-44.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over59c24.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0144039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6236…1df8backed Under47c22.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.55119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick35cpaid-86.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under55c19.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.567950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under79c18.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5322760.4%137 W · 90 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb941…6d97backed Over58c18.03$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d14…d039backed Over60c16.92$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.771250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under79c14.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.710851.9%56 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under78c13.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8519953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.