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La Liga · resolved market

Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,846
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,372

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,846 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x05e3…4b87backed Over49c10,062$4,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,131.6420253.5%108 W · 94 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under53c6,857$3,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,631.0284144.8%377 W · 464 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c4,041$2,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,112.453,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c3,278$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,758.44,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf78…7736backed Under72c2,997$2,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,157.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under55c1,515$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.261,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over38c1,271$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.136848.5%33 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over62c1,235$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.392846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over45c1,077$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.9913054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Under57c984.14$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.912941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under55c955.53$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.241,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2804…85e7backed Over41c868.14$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over33c729$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.435330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over45c644.67$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.571758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked Over52c599.95$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.971050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over38c580.54$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.941631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-35.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over40c508.23$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.241,66243.7%727 W · 935 L-23.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over40c499.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.9916149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbef6…f2f9backed Over44c464.35$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.62933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over54c450.19$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.0917458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2480…c148backed Under8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326512.3%8 W · 57 L-0.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid+29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over43c376$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.3228045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Under55c369.96$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.484755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Under62c330.36$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.987653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over45c322.33$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.281747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa334…beaebacked Over42c321.91$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.794639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under53c291.6$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.685366%35 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Under4c286.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.462416.7%4 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick6cpaid+202.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf341…9bd8backed Over38c253.37$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.09633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over28c237.49$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.9335759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf680…2c59backed Over41c235.27$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.815750.9%29 W · 28 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+43%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Over43c224.58$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.01837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over28c217.8$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.8428357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Over45c216.78$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.13060%18 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over29c216.1$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.2620360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over45c214.89$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.194755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe761…8a64backed Under57c209.66$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.89862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Under65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301861.1%11 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Over42c197.96$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.474057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Over45c197.7$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.735743.9%25 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over31c187.64$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.1519953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…c5e3backed Under69c183.05$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.3120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd410…1d61backed Over44c169.21$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.76450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over64c153.02$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1911651.7%60 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under15c152.8$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4713251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under62c150$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.420451.5%105 W · 99 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Over44c149.96$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.983834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under60c149$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.026373%46 W · 17 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under58c146.15$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.511,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under57c144.43$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3311853.4%63 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked Under55c139.59$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.782263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under55c128.68$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7165356.5%369 W · 284 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over38c128.05$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3917128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over48c125$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.642558.4%248 W · 177 L+31.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over44c123.3$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.059557.9%55 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under56c119.85$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.275461.1%33 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa853…58a9backed Under41c117.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.231315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-54%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over45c107.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.091338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0542…e195backed Over46c105.17$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.79837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ece…068abacked Over65c100.04$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.012259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507852.6%41 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Over42c99.98$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.992857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over42c97.67$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6570050.6%354 W · 346 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over43c96.58$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0562744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf888…1c98backed Over45c95$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c2…abcbbacked Under54c90.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.621050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4261…8d5bbacked Under55c85.61$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb9d…8307backed Over34c84.22$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.422100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+142.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under39c80.93$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5684939.7%337 W · 512 L-21.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under56c80.86$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.081346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x983c…dd56backed Over43c80.52$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.93839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over69c76.28$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6549057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7569…ac76backed Under56c73.84$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.352142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under60c70.43$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0422455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under60c70.43$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0423456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under60c70.43$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.048670.9%61 W · 25 L+11.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under60c70.43$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.047954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7335…dd65backed Under60c70.43$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.041163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Over29c70$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.74647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under56c70$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.21662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over42c68.79$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.975751%386 W · 371 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed Over28c68.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.214858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over38c67.4$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.795040%20 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x399c…6191backed Over43c66.9$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.922763%17 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over60c63.44$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.384052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f7e…d633backed Under37c60.74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over48c60.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4930842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de7…61c0backed Over45c60.17$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.092941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under20c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126950.7%35 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over33c58.17$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.976243.5%27 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under55c57.78$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7889050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a6d…039bbacked Over45c55.87$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+39.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bf2…9959backed Over44c54.91$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.751258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over35c54.87$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7159855.5%332 W · 266 L+32.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Under59c54.27$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.142065%13 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Over38c54.02$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.52646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa9c…c6debacked Over37c54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.02742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over45c53.72$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5549228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under55c53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.154548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4c7…c6bdbacked Under56c52.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.59837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.