TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,353
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,101

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,353 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under30c11,079$3,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,350.954,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over70c2,210$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.854465.9%29 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Over68c2,120$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.92864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under30c1,752$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.392,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over67c1,637$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.456468.8%44 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Under32c1,504$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.57742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over67c1,183$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.548252.4%43 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over68c1,165$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.7674457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over70c1,117$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.4313263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under27c1,098$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.563,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over70c999.99$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30016149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Over76c910.56$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.5714549.7%72 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e19…1495backed Over70c907.56$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.21955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over72c785.18$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.852846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under23c763.8$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.571,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over72c683.04$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.455166.7%34 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over68c563.33$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.271,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over68c504.82$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5422553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under32c500.12$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.3720360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over69c450.99$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.389629.2%28 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over73c402.12$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8911651.7%60 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under28c369.58$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.741,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Over80c366$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.23865.8%25 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under29c337.37$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4819953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over68c324.2$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.749466%62 W · 32 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7536…17fcbacked Over72c304.17$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.911090%9 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick71cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9063757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over68c294.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1619662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under30c287.4$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2282844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over70c280.57$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.174170.7%29 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over71c277.73$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.241747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Over75c262.49$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.483056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over70c258.59$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.589244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over68c238.15$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.216879.4%54 W · 14 L+14.7wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+44%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under33c234.56$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8922758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under33c234.56$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8917856.7%101 W · 77 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under25c229.09$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2761557.7%355 W · 260 L+41.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x65d2…8320backed Over71c195.14$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5911264.3%72 W · 40 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over68c166.19$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1812369.9%86 W · 37 L+29.7wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+69.5%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under31c150$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4720252%105 W · 97 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Over80c150$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306657.6%38 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed Under12c140.87$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.354858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0efb…016cbacked Over70c140.27$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.083562.9%22 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6481…b1bfbacked Over71c138.39$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.138170.4%57 W · 24 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over76c129.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1217458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under25c119.49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.876445.3%29 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Over76c109.32$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.271376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over70c108.02$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.414052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under35c104.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5816456.7%93 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae7b…aec1backed Under35c104.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.582347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under35c104.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5819260.9%117 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under35c104.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5817659.7%105 W · 71 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Over66c103.9$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3214759.2%87 W · 60 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Over72c100.91$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.784057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over71c98.26$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.562744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under30c86.22$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.871662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under36c80.13$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.855054%27 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under27c79.21$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.041,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over66c78.37$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6983640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over69c73.48$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7811853.4%63 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under29c71.81$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.831,55951.6%804 W · 755 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Under29c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.35032%16 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d10…b81dbacked Over71c69.2$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.072864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x610d…6c37backed Over80c60.59$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.121471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b73…174ebacked Over69c54.49$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.891346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over66c48.71$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5624757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under30c47.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3620245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67f4…0cb2backed Under27c42.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.561163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Over77c39.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8818062.2%112 W · 68 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed Under30c39.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.753050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f60…257cbacked Over70c35.07$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.521070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4947…d93abacked Over68c28.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.23475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea77…686ebacked Over70c28.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.422060%12 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d13…b939backed Over70c28.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.425371.7%38 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38a5…37a5backed Over70c28.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.425354.7%29 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x677c…6b53backed Over71c27.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.031586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick73cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf70…df6cbacked Over71c27.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.03366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe083…d0d5backed Over71c27.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.033464.7%22 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over71c22.14$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4216865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Over71c20.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0211769.2%81 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ee…e1acbacked Over71c20.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.026100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae9a…7ceabacked Over73c19.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.341752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc003…47a8backed Over75c16.01$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.053565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over70c14.73$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.427170.4%50 W · 21 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over74c14.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.686982.6%57 W · 12 L+15.0wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+37%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xf8db…2a35backed Over74c13.78$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.