Tennis · resolved market

Todi: Daniel Michalski vs Lukas Neumayer

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3b3eece817e5e88b97dbea2da76cc046cbb4ad8ca50de49de0533bc9bd2027d

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Lukas Neumayerof Daniel Michalski, Lukas Neumayer
Resolved: Aug 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $71,395
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $78,222

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,395 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Lukas Neumayer	75c	10,840$8,094 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,746.02	8,217	45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L	+166.6wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lukas Neumayer	58c	6,212$3,615 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,596.83	8,505	42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L	-166.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Lukas Neumayer	55c	4,476$2,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,035.77	11,435	43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L	+17.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Daniel Michalski	45c	4,371$1,978 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,978.35	8,828	36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L	-193.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61a8…1ad4backed Lukas Neumayer	39c	3,694$1,441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,253.16	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Daniel Michalski	23c	3,457$779 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$779.23	1,435	24.3%348 W · 1,087 L	-36.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Daniel Michalski	7c	3,433$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.34	3,605	42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L	-43.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Lukas Neumayer	68c	3,111$2,115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$995.52	156	65.4%102 W · 54 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	+2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Daniel Michalski	59c	2,890$1,718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,717.56	4,185	44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L	+14.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3556…af4fbacked Daniel Michalski	57c	2,654$1,511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,510.93	277	24.9%69 W · 208 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Daniel Michalski	61c	2,425$1,479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,479.13	3,661	45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Daniel Michalski	47c	2,121$1,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.68	3,068	57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L	+173.3wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3ac…1ce0backed Lukas Neumayer	64c	1,572$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$572.1	124	67.7%84 W · 40 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	67cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Daniel Michalski	13c	1,154$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	973	7.9%77 W · 896 L	-20.2wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Lukas Neumayer	39c	1,021$398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$622.82	301	32.9%99 W · 202 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Lukas Neumayer	42c	985.07$414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$571.34	1,363	38.3%522 W · 841 L	+8.5wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d9…ecd7backed Daniel Michalski	56c	974.19$541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$541	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71bf…f6edbacked Daniel Michalski	31c	967.74$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	59	61%36 W · 23 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Daniel Michalski	38c	937.51$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.57	5,350	56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L	+228.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb361…7348backed Lukas Neumayer	51c	936.85$481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$455.85	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a14…9fe4backed Daniel Michalski	35c	883.29$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.15	409	35.7%146 W · 263 L	+7.8wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Lukas Neumayer	66c	757.5$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.55	1,111	45.3%503 W · 608 L	-35.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Lukas Neumayer	57c	733.15$418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.3	883	58.2%514 W · 369 L	+12.9wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Daniel Michalski	24c	702.18$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.46	1,795	46.6%837 W · 958 L	+20.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Lukas Neumayer	43c	695.88$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$393.92	2,766	47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L	+44.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Daniel Michalski	32c	682.69$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.5	3,256	48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L	-53.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Daniel Michalski	32c	637.2$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.9	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Daniel Michalski	30c	500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1,186	52.4%622 W · 564 L	+28.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Daniel Michalski	35c	474.85$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.32	369	46.9%173 W · 196 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Lukas Neumayer	70c	468.36$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.44	1,708	44.8%766 W · 942 L	-18.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Lukas Neumayer	52c	400$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192	366	40.7%149 W · 217 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Daniel Michalski	50c	384.51$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.8	479	56.6%271 W · 208 L	-9.2wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Lukas Neumayer	67c	380.73$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.64	102	52%53 W · 49 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Lukas Neumayer	48c	371.31$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.83	1,710	53.7%918 W · 792 L	+30.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d26…f4f8backed Daniel Michalski	19c	290.37$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	86	16.3%14 W · 72 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+37.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed Lukas Neumayer	50c	283.23$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.54	133	51.1%68 W · 65 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Lukas Neumayer	48c	259.71$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.19	1,308	38.9%509 W · 799 L	-23.3wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0368…9874backed Lukas Neumayer	46c	217.39$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.39	45	57.8%26 W · 19 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Daniel Michalski	28c	199.99$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.57	1,861	44.4%827 W · 1,034 L	-15.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Daniel Michalski	63c	199.95$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.82	4,533	67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L	+306.6wins	+0.07per pick	61cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Lukas Neumayer	67c	197$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.39	1,159	69%800 W · 359 L	+56.8wins	+0.05per pick	64cpaid	+4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ab…a2d1backed Daniel Michalski	29c	178.87$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.98	89	57.3%51 W · 38 L	+7.1wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4eb2…1bfcbacked Lukas Neumayer	52c	171.61$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.72	280	55.4%155 W · 125 L	+9.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1b9…c40bbacked Daniel Michalski	31c	167.35$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.88	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa177…4b0dbacked Lukas Neumayer	42c	154.76$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.76	135	25.9%35 W · 100 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Lukas Neumayer	71c	150$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.5	643	50.2%323 W · 320 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba0c…4715backed Lukas Neumayer	67c	148$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.63	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	61cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Lukas Neumayer	68c	146.47$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.47	470	58.5%275 W · 195 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e54…e773backed Lukas Neumayer	68c	144.91$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.37	69	52.2%36 W · 33 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x882e…e0a1backed Lukas Neumayer	68c	144.91$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.37	113	37.2%42 W · 71 L	-11.6wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc2c4…0f79backed Lukas Neumayer	68c	144.91$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.37	133	37.6%50 W · 83 L	-17.3wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb38d…6735backed Lukas Neumayer	68c	144.91$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.37	88	42%37 W · 51 L	-6.3wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd812…203fbacked Lukas Neumayer	68c	144.91$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.37	105	37.1%39 W · 66 L	-11.3wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfed8…5339backed Lukas Neumayer	68c	144.91$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.37	115	39.1%45 W · 70 L	-11.2wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6f85…f9f5backed Lukas Neumayer	68c	144.91$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.37	107	39.3%42 W · 65 L	-9.4wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x66eb…a375backed Lukas Neumayer	68c	144.91$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.37	100	38%38 W · 62 L	-10.0wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-32%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x81f9…d394backed Lukas Neumayer	68c	144.91$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.37	124	41.1%51 W · 73 L	-8.4wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfcd…e73fbacked Lukas Neumayer	68c	144.91$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.37	102	40.2%41 W · 61 L	-8.3wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1429…b6babacked Lukas Neumayer	68c	144.91$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.37	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-4.0wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Daniel Michalski	43c	141.58$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.53	6,786	48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L	+56.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa205…d809backed Daniel Michalski	65c	134.69$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.55	101	46.5%47 W · 54 L	-6.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Lukas Neumayer	63c	132.62$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.8	721	47.3%341 W · 380 L	-18.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Daniel Michalski	32c	130$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.6	868	35.4%307 W · 561 L	+22.9wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Lukas Neumayer	50c	121.1$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.77	4,241	52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L	+65.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb524…0808backed Lukas Neumayer	47c	110$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.1	156	57.1%89 W · 67 L	+8.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d24…f379backed Lukas Neumayer	57c	102$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.86	361	54%195 W · 166 L	+14.7wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Lukas Neumayer	77c	101.77$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.08	184	59.8%110 W · 74 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe026…f409backed Daniel Michalski	17c	100.38$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-51.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Daniel Michalski	32c	100$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	553	47.6%263 W · 290 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…1bcfbacked Lukas Neumayer	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.13per pick	42cpaid	+41.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Lukas Neumayer	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.5	2,065	35.2%727 W · 1,338 L	-52.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Lukas Neumayer	67c	100$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	1,955	48%939 W · 1,016 L	+16.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Daniel Michalski	33c	100$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	603	41.1%248 W · 355 L	-26.8wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed Lukas Neumayer	63c	99$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.06	162	48.1%78 W · 84 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Daniel Michalski	32c	97$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.04	277	44.4%123 W · 154 L	-12.7wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0617…08d9backed Daniel Michalski	20c	91.42$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.28	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Daniel Michalski	34c	91$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.94	2,281	52%1,187 W · 1,094 L	+82.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a7b…f972backed Daniel Michalski	33c	90.91$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	127	42.5%54 W · 73 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Lukas Neumayer	53c	89$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.83	4,426	51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L	+136.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05b2…953bbacked Daniel Michalski	43c	87$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.41	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Lukas Neumayer	52c	86.54$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.54	3,220	40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L	+28.3wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Lukas Neumayer	70c	80$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	3,874	45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L	-39.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Lukas Neumayer	66c	79$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.86	1,837	59.2%1,088 W · 749 L	+8.4wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Daniel Michalski	62c	77.81$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.24	1,256	65.4%821 W · 435 L	+11.4wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Lukas Neumayer	59c	77.29$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.76	1,429	44.2%631 W · 798 L	-23.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d5…573bbacked Lukas Neumayer	39c	76.92$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.92	89	42.7%38 W · 51 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Lukas Neumayer	66c	75.76$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.76	889	35.2%313 W · 576 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Daniel Michalski	33c	67$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.11	695	45.8%318 W · 377 L	-10.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Daniel Michalski	35c	66.97$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.51	427	48.7%208 W · 219 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Daniel Michalski	31c	64.57$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.33	7,049	39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L	-20.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Lukas Neumayer	72c	64$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.92	821	59.4%488 W · 333 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Daniel Michalski	32c	62.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5,261	28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L	-19.4wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Daniel Michalski	33c	59.6$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.67	702	54.4%382 W · 320 L	+40.6wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x57b6…9b2cbacked Daniel Michalski	33c	54.54$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	155	57.4%89 W · 66 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52f1…28d4backed Lukas Neumayer	53c	53.19$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	42	66.7%28 W · 14 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8468…3860backed Lukas Neumayer	38c	52.63$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.63	242	31%75 W · 167 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Daniel Michalski	38c	51.95$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.82	1,094	52.4%573 W · 521 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1e…cbfbbacked Lukas Neumayer	75c	51.32$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.83	140	52.1%73 W · 67 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf2…ac54backed Daniel Michalski	32c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	193	47.2%91 W · 102 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d8b…3b0ebacked Lukas Neumayer	67c	50$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	54	55.6%30 W · 24 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Todi: Daniel Michalski vs Lukas Neumayerthis page
Todi: Completed Match: Daniel Michalski vs Lukas NeumayerYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Todi: Daniel Michalski vs Lukas Neumayer

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event