Asian League · resolved market
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e2c3317edba40430cb852646b436a5c4d176fbcfe3252bcb5ca9912e32e05a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1dab…b837backed No | 80c | 9,753$7,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…2e3fbacked Yes | 47c | 6,140$2,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,901.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 24c | 4,338$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,278.06 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 4,264$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.93 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 24c | 3,697$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.78 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34eb…eabbbacked Yes | 76c | 2,768$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c72…46dbbacked No | 78c | 2,144$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed No | 72c | 1,367$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.78 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 58c | 1,270$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.72 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 36c | 1,104$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.76 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed No | 25c | 976.55$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.55 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 32cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 66c | 879.99$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.63 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 25c | 625.34$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 75c | 612.95$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.38 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bea…87b7backed No | 79c | 551.04$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.72 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 47c | 450$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.9 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 35c | 420$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 22c | 405.05$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.11 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 28c | 375$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa8…ea63backed Yes | 28c | 365.43$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 30c | 349.11$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.11 | 434 | 52.1%226 W · 208 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 22c | 312.54$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.28 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 24c | 284.62$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…6c04backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 21c | 142.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.83 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f1…35f8backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…d5a3backed Yes | 24c | 125.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 14.6%12 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 66c | 116.35$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfe…9257backed Yes | 49c | 110.34$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked No | 72c | 101.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69a1…22b8backed No | 50c | 89.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 48c | 87.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 22c | 86.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 80c | 74.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x544d…88c5backed Yes | 29c | 68.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b59…31b4backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…3f6dbacked No | 74c | 58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 76c | 52.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed No | 77c | 52.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…cfcdbacked No | 78c | 50.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 50.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba79…e944backed Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Yes | 26c | 40.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 47c | 38.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 52c | 37.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 34c | 31.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 60c | 30.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed No | 51c | 27.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…ad9bbacked Yes | 62c | 22.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 62c | 19.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-05-10?No won
- Will Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.