Asian League · resolved market
Will Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd37b9bf6ee5abec5d55ae132ad6fa27e0eed1001b64c469d2f9940278c3cc78d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 1,716$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.54 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 24c | 913.93$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.64 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 791.64$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.3 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34eb…eabbbacked Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Yes | 13c | 385.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.38 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 23c | 322.02$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.42 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 19c | 299.43$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.42 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 6c | 220.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66e2…41b6backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 150.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.23 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked No | 79c | 127.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 49c | 104.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 30c | 88.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 18c | 84.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 70c | 80.31$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 56c | 73.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes | 27c | 70.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed No | 70c | 55.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 73c | 55.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 59c | 53.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 26c | 51.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 55c | 50.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 53c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…a311backed No | 69c | 40.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe594…fa9ebacked No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d8…b421backed No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed No | 73c | 29.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…3f6dbacked No | 62c | 20.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers end in a draw?this page
- Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-05-10?No won
- Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.