Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Alverca vs. Estoril Praia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa331b36dd5eab92645ebb19b16bf74fedf2cf9db89c994ba615d017f7aab950e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 43c | 4,638$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.75 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 50c | 2,847$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.73 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 4c | 2,707$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.15 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 2,117$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.57 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 73c | 2,026$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.09 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Yes | 27c | 1,847$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.53 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddb…b423backed Yes | 68c | 1,708$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 57c | 1,237$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.24 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 63c | 1,094$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.65 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed No | 8c | 1,005$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.05 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -58%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 792.26$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.43 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 56c | 757.96$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.55 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.71 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 63c | 535.54$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.39 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 46c | 496.12$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.97 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 45c | 378.19$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.89 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed Yes | 80c | 159.13$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 26c | 108.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 65c | 98.45$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 62c | 95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 34c | 93.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -11.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 48c | 92.36$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7800…18c4backed Yes | 68c | 73.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…684dbacked Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x544d…88c5backed Yes | 49c | 70.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…0104backed Yes | 74c | 64.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Yes | 27c | 63.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 27c | 59.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed No | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 62c | 55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked No | 74c | 46.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 22c | 46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 56c | 42.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…e80fbacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0b…7b0fbacked Yes | 61c | 25.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Yes | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cd…2c85backed No | 52c | 20.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 74c | 15.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Alverca vs. Estoril Praia end in a draw?this page
- Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-05-10?No won
- Will FC Alverca win on 2026-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.