Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Alverca win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff61d672d6f803eae6503eff96f50f8d05beec92604eae3fb608bab9cf6853b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 35c | 3,393$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.09 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked No | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 1,651$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.21 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 35c | 1,264$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.25 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 53c | 1,166$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.02 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 64c | 805$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.3 | 71 | 73.2%52 W · 19 L | +15.4wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 65c | 700$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 35c | 539.77$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.92 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 65c | 460$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked No | 41c | 425$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.75 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Yes | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.94 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 40c | 313.72$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.42 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 68c | 253.83$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.56 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 35c | 223.21$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.87 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 39c | 213.08$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 61c | 200.16$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.1 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 174.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 65c | 160$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed No | 42c | 154.81$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 36c | 130$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 15c | 110$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd53c…5194backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 35c | 98.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Yes | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc3…af6bbacked Yes | 10c | 96.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 61c | 79.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e0…369dbacked Yes | 16c | 75.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 64c | 75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 29c | 70.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -11.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed No | 51c | 48.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 59c | 48.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 64c | 41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 64c | 40.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 40c | 36.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 36c | 33.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 64c | 30.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c637backed No | 78c | 30.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed No | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 57c | 26.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…77e6backed No | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 71c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 70c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Alverca win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-05-10?No won
- Will FC Alverca vs. Estoril Praia end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.