TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-05-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,092
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,070

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,092 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Yes46c72,554$33,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,342.262070%14 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+44.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No54c19,786$10,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,099.0577751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No54c13,489$7,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,150.8513553.3%72 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No62c9,241$5,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,554.0798945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No54c5,305$2,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,428.463,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No59c4,722$2,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.9299340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No54c4,366$2,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,013.281,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c4,069$2,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,868.2497146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes45c3,742$1,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,683.863145.2%14 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No54c3,500$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.0526345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes35c3,027$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.49757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick25cpaid+80.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38011854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No54c2,586$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.1115748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No54c2,232$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.5913347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90053046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes6c1,600$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013518.5%25 W · 110 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes46c1,330$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.658563.5%54 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes46c1,330$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.6519560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No55c1,200$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5408547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No54c925.92$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9210450%52 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No55c917.99$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.12254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No55c843.9$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.9870249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36017258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No54c740.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.7412146.3%56 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed No55c667$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.152050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No67c655.11$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2112343.9%54 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27012263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No54c583$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.1813948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes14c548.68$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.187726%20 W · 57 L-8.9wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-39.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No64c480.74$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.2310960.6%66 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No56c466.51$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.075326.4%14 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No55c400$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18214359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No73c372.15$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.6978344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No55c372$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.49848%47 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No55c350$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.512661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Yes46c332.41$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.911450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No55c325.36$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.8820249%99 W · 103 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes12c325.08$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6948344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13515858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d57…18ddbacked Yes41c292.68$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes45c287.99$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.6818651.6%96 W · 90 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Yes46c267.09$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.86650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No54c263.66$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.6368150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked No66c256.05$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.235068%34 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6abc…bd1bbacked Yes20c250.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes45c246.44$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.88933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-40.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9f…44efbacked Yes46c241.69$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.181323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-46.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes32c237.22$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759250%46 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No55c228$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.611055.5%61 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes11c222.57$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4823548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No55c196$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.29457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011244.6%50 W · 62 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes45c185.89$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.651,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes31c156.88$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2637249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked No56c152.67$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.171392.3%12 W · 1 L+4.1wins+0.31per pick61cpaid+53.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.516960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.514257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e4c…5c55backed Yes46c131$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.261172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick47cpaid+54.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Yes9c131$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.791323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-70.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes46c124.91$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4653040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No56c123.25$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.239268.5%63 W · 29 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5411759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5412162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No76c107$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.827974.7%59 W · 20 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No55c104.93$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.229858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86ee…511fbacked Yes48c104$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes29c102.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.769555.8%53 W · 42 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4515060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4513158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes24c93.73$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1713228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Yes43c91.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3614459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.416955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Yes45c78.12$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.157140.8%29 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes39c77.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No74c71.32$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4936051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No55c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.514660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No55c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.514459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Yes45c64.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked No55c63.91$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.76742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.315259.9%91 W · 61 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.313560.7%82 W · 53 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked No54c56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.765240.4%21 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed No54c55.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.551450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yes45c55.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.814141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc1e…5e1fbacked No55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x434b…ad44backed Yes46c54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.84771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+41.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No55c50.5$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7280358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5be1…3371backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201723.5%4 W · 13 L-5.6wins-0.33per pick57cpaid-62.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.56065%39 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235742.1%24 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec6c…c407backed No56c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ed2…9d7abacked Yes45c41.52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+63.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeacf…ed1dbacked Yes46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed No55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183046.7%14 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1813461.2%82 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked No61c37.02$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.492875%21 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No56c37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2811563.5%73 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.