Mls · resolved market
Will Charlotte FC vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90bd24fa7eb9524b0d0795832785a0f054f7db96e1625a918cb64a0941977f22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 2,578$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.83 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddb…b423backed Yes | 53c | 2,364$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 2,236$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.3 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 47c | 1,631$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.56 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 26c | 1,434$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.38 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 40c | 1,404$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.9 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 43c | 1,309$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.73 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 25c | 983.96$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.97 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed No | 79c | 736.58$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.9 | 70 | 74.3%52 W · 18 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +39%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 44c | 434.29$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.07 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 22c | 305.4$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.81 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 78c | 294.2$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 32c | 205.22$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.02 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 24c | 179.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.43 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 76c | 174.95$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.96 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 79c | 140.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 42c | 120$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 59c | 100.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 66c | 90.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 75c | 81.4$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes | 42c | 80.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 42c | 79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 74c | 75.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.17 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 65c | 64.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…7b41backed Yes | 52c | 57.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 55.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 47.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…ad9bbacked Yes | 39c | 46.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 75c | 34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 66c | 33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda51…ef7fbacked Yes | 61c | 32.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed No | 71c | 25.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed No | 74c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Yes | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb86c…b76fbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 74c | 15.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 75c | 13.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charlotte FC vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw?this page
- Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-05-09?No won
- Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.