TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$160,728
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,187

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,728 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes44c22,919$10,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,079.3931349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c21,627$14,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,6488,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No55c14,935$8,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,757.982,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6006…13afbacked Yes47c11,419$5,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,323.852634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes43c10,378$4,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,418.76944.9%31 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd752…ce7fbacked Yes22c8,752$1,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,915.892347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c8,585$4,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,983.373,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes38c5,134$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,970.4427133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes47c4,935$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.668321.7%18 W · 65 L-12.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-46.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No53c4,360$2,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.2520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-62.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No66c4,096$2,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.385,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.978153.1%43 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No63c3,902$2,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.8633560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes42c2,285$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.3410155.4%56 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes43c2,196$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.9528651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No53c1,833$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.2417049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No62c1,794$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.571,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6395…d69dbacked Yes45c1,669$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.341060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+41.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No56c1,568$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.836757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked No68c1,517$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.336866.2%45 W · 23 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa796…82fdbacked Yes47c1,442$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.742268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed No56c1,432$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.06666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed No65c1,372$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.616558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Yes46c1,241$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.584858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes11c1,214$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.239127.1%106 W · 285 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes40c1,095$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.7611323.9%27 W · 86 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e83…4bd3backed No55c1,070$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.632751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No54c1,051$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.731,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No61c1,014$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.1714570.3%102 W · 43 L+22.6wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No67c1,012$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.191,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.15164.7%33 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Yes45c999.92$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.965749.1%28 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes2c952.47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.330847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed No51c951.57$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.275651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e07…0163backed Yes32c907.45$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.51338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes38c890.82$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.653928.2%11 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No56c884.32$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.244637%17 W · 29 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-38.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No55c844.92$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.2110564.8%68 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…ed8dbacked Yes49c798.98$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.641421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-51%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes51c731.61$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.7649136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa163…2719backed Yes46c709.84$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.53714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-61.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked Yes45c668.3$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.744753.2%25 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes46c652.08$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.966555.4%36 W · 29 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+28.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf69c…44dbbacked Yes45c644.67$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.12850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No54c633.2$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.2745253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No61c628.31$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.772,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes45c623.18$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.434141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00a1…df06backed Yes46c601.59$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.734454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes2c600$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144613%6 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No55c583.8$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.714953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3901…d0e2backed No55c553.64$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.14977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+44.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes47c552.89$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.8637851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes44c549.09$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.616262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes45c537.22$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.7510750.5%54 W · 53 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Yes46c483.8$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.551457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No54c478.54$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.521,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed No55c436.36$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.365058%29 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a74…e456backed Yes46c429.11$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.39250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked Yes5c388.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.435156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2668…9555backed Yes11c386.53$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7840%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Yes47c380.52$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.854456.8%25 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed No54c370$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.351952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Yes47c358.23$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.371266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes46c346.12$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8210846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Yes44c338.31$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0213351.1%68 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No54c329.99$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.821349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ae…eb51backed Yes47c325.95$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x166e…3303backed Yes40c302.64$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.738137%30 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed No55c301.78$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.81241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No54c298.23$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.871,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2605…2b17backed Yes8c296.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.62580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+90.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4dab…6ecabacked Yes12c284.1$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.31650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c50…89b6backed Yes46c283.54$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.742462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Yes44c282.09$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.098451.2%43 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No60c274.75$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.251,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes46c272.15$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8140242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No78c264.08$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.91,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1036…fb48backed Yes45c257.87$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.042951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No52c255.6$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.921,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.584943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes43c247.59$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5121837.6%82 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked No54c244.56$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.152050%10 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No58c232.95$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.791,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed No56c227$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.883834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc3b…b37fbacked Yes44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.641050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed No54c216.37$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.591850%9 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5462…fe43backed Yes46c212.2$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.613151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5941…9583backed Yes46c210.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.761850%9 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Yes23c207.35$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.699344.1%41 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No52c203.41$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.142,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2099…4a6fbacked Yes48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962425%6 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009545.3%43 W · 52 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4693…bf61backed Yes23c194.04$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.411250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d84…a7bdbacked No56c193.85$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.292979.3%23 W · 6 L+6.7wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+40.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No64c193.1$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4619264.1%123 W · 69 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…ce0abacked Yes46c192.91$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.743354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No59c191.71$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.811,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b6a…0d29backed Yes51c190.75$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c5a…d48abacked No55c186.19$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4312100%12 W · 0 L+4.7wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.