South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c43a915e393220906fdabd9d7a3baa7ca32238f2caac03c9afadc7bb0c5fd29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 31c | 7,758$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.33 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed No | 69c | 6,943$4,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.27 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 69c | 4,307$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.9 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 2,867$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.99 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,995$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.65 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 31c | 1,827$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.42 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…dedebacked Yes | 30c | 1,597$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes | 5c | 930.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 72c | 793.57$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.2 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 696.07$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.9 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 7c | 689.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Yes | 30c | 663.23$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.97 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Yes | 31c | 570.33$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.99 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 30c | 463.12$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.24 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…db0abacked Yes | 30c | 453.45$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.04 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 9c | 421.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 318.28$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.18 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 69c | 299.23$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.76 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 70c | 210.43$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 29c | 210$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…8fe0backed No | 72c | 204.67$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 201.97$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed No | 69c | 173.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Yes | 30c | 159.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Yes | 31c | 154.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 152.9$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.94 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 73c | 135.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 14c | 101.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 29c | 99.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 28c | 95.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…d788backed Yes | 14c | 92.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 14c | 80.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bd…c88dbacked Yes | 30c | 79.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 70c | 77.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed No | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Yes | 31c | 61.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 30c | 57.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Yes | 28c | 53.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 31c | 52.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 31c | 49.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 31c | 49.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 31c | 49.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64fb…f27cbacked Yes | 31c | 49.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 22c | 49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 31c | 45.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes | 31c | 45.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Yes | 31c | 45.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 71c | 41.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 29c | 41.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Yes | 31c | 38.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yes | 29c | 34.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 71c | 28.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…8b48backed No | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…5bb7backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41f…2a81backed No | 70c | 19.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed No | 72c | 17.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 71c | 14.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba24…ddd5backed No | 72c | 14.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?this page
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-02?No won
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-04-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.