South American Leagues · resolved market
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa842dd45fb91e86fe3d42191e43316cdcab28b80cc3f535b5ff2886b56758c6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed No | 54c | 24,694$13,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,482.01 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 65c | 3,824$2,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.69 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 47c | 2,138$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.78 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Yes | 46c | 2,005$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.43 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 47c | 2,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.99 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 64c | 1,893$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.57 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 46c | 1,630$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 47c | 1,551$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.97 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 46c | 1,266$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.54 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 55c | 1,239$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.16 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 25c | 1,231$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.97 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +15.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Yes | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 46c | 916$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.36 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed No | 35c | 879.7$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.81 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 47c | 800$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 71c | 666.66$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.09 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 46c | 652.15$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 71c | 647.75$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.9 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 4c | 625$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 65c | 529.79$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.36 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 30c | 510.67$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.11 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 58c | 485.68$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.42 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 46c | 434.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 17c | 366.24$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.94 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 13c | 354.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…ad5ebacked Yes | 36c | 350$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 46c | 297.28$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.86 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 66c | 257.61$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.06 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 77c | 252.89$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.73 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 47c | 242.8$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.12 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 59c | 238$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…a7d5backed Yes | 49c | 210$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 47c | 200.07$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.03 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd0…c747backed Yes | 36c | 178.36$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 46c | 148$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 48c | 130$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked No | 53c | 130$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 76c | 127.75$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 52c | 117.82$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.69 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 46c | 117$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 62c | 114.67$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 72c | 110.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 21c | 109.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.01 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 14c | 108.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.04 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 39c | 104.82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.87 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…e7c2backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee6e…ad3dbacked Yes | 49c | 99.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…15e9backed No | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 65c | 90.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…bfb7backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 64c | 86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…970abacked Yes | 69c | 85.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 48c | 85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 51c | 81.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 19c | 75.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.94 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…b8d6backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…0afcbacked Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 77c | 61.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 52c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked No | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 51c | 52.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…eb8fbacked Yes | 28c | 49.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 48c | 49.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Yes | 75c | 48.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 46c | 45.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Yes | 31c | 44.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54b8…296ebacked Yes | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c9…b92fbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Yes | 70c | 39.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 75c | 38.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55c7…f584backed Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6d…6b36backed No | 54c | 37.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 51c | 36.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 48c | 31.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Yes | 67c | 29.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ab…93c6backed No | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 47c | 26.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Yes | 66c | 25.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 47c | 22.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 52c | 22.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed No | 64c | 22.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed Yes | 71c | 21.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-03?No won
- Will São Paulo FC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.