TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,769
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,767

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,769 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes46c52,568$24,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,491.929446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No54c12,746$6,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,859.98742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No6c11,185$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.411,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No54c10,745$5,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,802.315736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+49.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No54c4,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16024855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed No54c3,891$2,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,101.363040%12 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c3,296$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,791.533,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62013059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No6c1,959$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.492,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes47c1,820$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.719239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No54c1,750$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94516558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81024053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No54c1,207$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.592,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes59c1,048$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.9299259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No5c985.55$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.631,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No51c976.59$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9910846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No54c972.4$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.123057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No52c934.85$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.765,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No5c789.33$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.911,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed No53c747.52$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.181241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes47c646.51$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.6512541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No57c565.03$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.7257157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No57c565.03$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.7247756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf797…37ccbacked Yes48c557.92$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.812839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No54c556.82$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.822,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No54c555.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9910146.5%47 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No54c542.94$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.6228851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No57c530.6$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.611,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27018358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27023056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No24c499.03$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.51,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No54c450$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24324956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5462…fe43backed Yes48c403.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.913151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21621358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21616559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21615857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No55c394.97$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.4517560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes72c262.06$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9123254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No54c250$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13521657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No54c250$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13520360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No54c248.98$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.522,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No27c211$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.971,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9244…643cbacked Yes47c208.74$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.63977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick53cpaid+50.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes47c206$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1810750.5%54 W · 53 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Yes46c200.25$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.212354.5%67 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8122058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8115560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No21c120$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed No22c119.29$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.673941%16 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes47c116.18$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.585949.2%29 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No54c111.07$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2750746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc92d…9691backed Yes47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.596958%40 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc128…28f9backed Yes47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.59683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick47cpaid+72.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546046.7%28 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5424257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5418959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes48c82.87$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.091,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes69c75.79$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1613373.7%98 W · 35 L+22.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+30.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x3c04…9715backed Yes46c75.27$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.65333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b35…7e1dbacked No54c75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.53253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No54c75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.517960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No54c75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.513557%77 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No53c70$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.18045%36 W · 44 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No54c67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.181,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d22…403ebacked Yes44c65.89$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.91346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7185…a365backed Yes68c57.69$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed No54c56.92$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7411156.8%63 W · 48 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7072…d945backed Yes46c55.9$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.29933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes44c54.91$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.751942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes45c53.72$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5576951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d6b…aaa3backed Yes46c52.42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.225234.6%18 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked No57c51.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4324253.3%129 W · 113 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x395c…0be0backed Yes47c51.34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.21650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed No54c46.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.458439.3%33 W · 51 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed No54c45.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3117261%105 W · 67 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes45c42.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6414446.5%67 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes45c42.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.643345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No56c41.75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.389953.5%53 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d6d…6b36backed Yes47c41.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.841735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x628d…a012backed Yes47c41.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.846836.8%25 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed No56c38.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.918155.6%45 W · 36 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No56c36.9$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6718452.2%96 W · 88 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes47c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5594848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Yes57c34.32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.888554.1%46 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0212…fee5backed Yes48c34.13$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes45c32.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7311849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x935b…8f4fbacked Yes48c30.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.742846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No37c29.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9215651.9%81 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5483…5e9fbacked Yes48c29.12$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.143444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes45c29.01$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.969353.8%50 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a9…c9a5backed No54c25.91$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No54c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.519460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No54c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.512761.4%78 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No54c24.68$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4467548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No57c20.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5429053.8%156 W · 134 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No54c19.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.799741.2%40 W · 57 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No57c18.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7170055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca13…120dbacked No55c18.62$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.23475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.