South American Leagues · resolved market
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc51dd56498e0ca89b8aa3ace64978d948937c7398734699de255c17d4e848260
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed No | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.99 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 16c | 936.13$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.82 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 17c | 931.29$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.62 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes | 60c | 910.24$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.17 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 7c | 741.57$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 54c | 722.06$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.06 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 3c | 688$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 97 | 10.3%10 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed No | 58c | 603.45$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 69c | 573.89$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.81 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5941…9583backed No | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Yes | 43c | 465.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.09 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +8.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 42c | 424$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.92 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 42c | 420.09$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.45 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed No | 2c | 400.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 15c | 337.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 43c | 320.93$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.93 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d89…7b5abacked Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 17c | 217.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 79c | 211.67$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 43c | 145.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.97 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fa…da37backed Yes | 69c | 145.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1317backed No | 33c | 142.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Yes | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 42c | 130.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Yes | 74c | 129.71$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -55%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…15e9backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee6e…ad3dbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 39c | 94.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 43c | 78.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 53c | 76.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 43c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked No | 41c | 72.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 46c | 65.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 45c | 65.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 20c | 61.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 42c | 38.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 73c | 35.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 57c | 27.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6d…6b36backed No | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 55c | 24.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384b…1472backed Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81c9…4a47backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yes | 67c | 18.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 78c | 15.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 74c | 14.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +15.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EC Vitória win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will EC Vitória vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.