South American Leagues · resolved market
Will EC Vitória vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaad302d78860084fe3cd9b82874d6729571b5f236486d3e0c8c25e0bc267260a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 26c | 5,119$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.29 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed No | 71c | 3,341$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.92 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 70cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 1,784$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.46 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 1,757$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.25 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 74c | 1,500$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.76 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,078$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.8 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…a34bbacked No | 70c | 1,038$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.45 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 73c | 875$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.67 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 29c | 835.11$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.18 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 74c | 750$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 26c | 558.64$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.25 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 10c | 460.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 30c | 436.87$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.29 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 30c | 367.23$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.3 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked No | 69c | 331.88$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 73c | 325$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 73c | 325$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked Yes | 30c | 308.77$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Yes | 10c | 302.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yes | 10c | 240.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 29c | 226.27$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 73c | 225$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.39 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 26c | 213.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.78 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 28c | 199.76$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 29c | 191.23$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Yes | 33c | 190$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 174.61$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed No | 68c | 162.76$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes | 10c | 150.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 30c | 130.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 73c | 125$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 74c | 125$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 100.73$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 70c | 81.96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 73c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 73c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 66.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Yes | 24c | 63.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -51%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 77c | 63.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 67c | 56.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 32c | 55.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 30c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbea…7777backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 76c | 30.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 78c | 30.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 78c | 28.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 70c | 27.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EC Vitória vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?this page
- Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will EC Vitória win on 2026-05-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.