South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8091c48f701e507585ae265baf6c6f3d8b3313ca4e6e7721535b03f87df01a1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 1c | 17,375$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.32 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 24c | 7,064$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.6 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Yes | 26c | 3,846$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 76c | 2,000$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.61 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 75c | 1,500$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.94 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 75c | 875$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.78 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 26c | 757.69$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 76c | 750$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.75 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 74c | 601.32$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.34 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 585.44$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.02 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Yes | 2c | 559.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -55%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 5c | 523.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.05 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 26c | 416.22$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.98 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 75c | 325$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 75c | 325$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 271.42$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Yes | 26c | 255.96$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 74c | 225.96$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 75c | 225$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.29 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked Yes | 26c | 177.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 24c | 142.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…f8b7backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 75c | 133$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 75c | 125$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 76c | 125$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 26c | 104$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 25c | 98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 74c | 97.21$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 14c | 83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 76.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 26c | 65.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…292bbacked No | 75c | 63.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes | 27c | 61.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6b…aaa3backed Yes | 26c | 61.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 25c | 58.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed No | 75c | 57.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 18c | 55.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 26c | 47.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 75c | 40.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will EC Vitória vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?No won
- Will EC Vitória win on 2026-05-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.