South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b79b1b2e2906d80e1dc64879614a2ddfb9332528c5c787751db169a5823b9d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed No | 37c | 18,344$6,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,602.83 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 63c | 7,096$4,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,478.29 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 63c | 3,270$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.1 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 61c | 2,663$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.47 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Yes | 62c | 1,987$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 63c | 1,428$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.76 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…994abacked Yes | 63c | 806.35$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Yes | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…95c7backed Yes | 27c | 742.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 66c | 738.8$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.28 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 41c | 597.46$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.04 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 38c | 445.52$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.22 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 22c | 429.3$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.2 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea1…6072backed Yes | 62c | 410$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 334.78$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.28 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 32c | 311.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.91 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc78…c479backed Yes | 73c | 273.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 61c | 269.09$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.14 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 77c | 236.41$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.37 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 25c | 218.1$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.25 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 19c | 214.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.36 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 65c | 192.31$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 63c | 164.42$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff1…c554backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…cb26backed Yes | 64c | 157$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.48 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43b…f637backed Yes | 62c | 155.8$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 44c | 153.72$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.39 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 45c | 151.62$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.84 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda25…abafbacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 33c | 134.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.08 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 35c | 134.04$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.89 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 30c | 130.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 38c | 129.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.48 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed No | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 63c | 122$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…995ebacked Yes | 63c | 109.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 36c | 100.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5370…84adbacked Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 63c | 99.11$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 35c | 98.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.34 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6d…6b36backed Yes | 64c | 98.52$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 64c | 94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 18c | 93.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.91 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 38c | 90.26$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…a25dbacked Yes | 62c | 90$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…15e9backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 771 | 51.4%396 W · 375 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9c…6dacbacked Yes | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 31c | 77.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…1bd3backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 64c | 75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 26c | 73.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 64c | 72.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked Yes | 62c | 70.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 107 | 67.3%72 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…36dbbacked Yes | 65c | 70.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed No | 19c | 68.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Yes | 63c | 65.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 37c | 62.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Yes | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f2…c2a5backed Yes | 66c | 57.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f0…00c7backed Yes | 77c | 57.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 63c | 57.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9f…feb7backed Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 37c | 45.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x166e…3303backed Yes | 31c | 41.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 63c | 40.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 38c | 39.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bef…17eabacked Yes | 63c | 39.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 63c | 38.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 63c | 37.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Yes | 77c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -51%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 69c | 34.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6b…aaa3backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac6c…d0d4backed Yes | 80c | 31.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 35c | 30.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Yes | 66c | 30.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2617…4129backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Yes | 68c | 23.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -55%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4db8…975ebacked Yes | 63c | 23.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 67c | 22.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Yes | 63c | 19.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…ac21backed Yes | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 63c | 17.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a1…ab16backed Yes | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Botafogo FR vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?No won
- Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-05-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.