TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,362
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,906

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,362 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed No37c18,344$6,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,602.8329446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes63c7,096$4,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,478.2951749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes63c3,270$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,060.142962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes61c2,663$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.472,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Yes62c1,987$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2323040%12 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes63c1,428$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.761,94551.3%998 W · 947 L+40.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4789…994abacked Yes63c806.35$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes66c757.58$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac39…95c7backed Yes27c742.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes66c738.8$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.284141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes41c597.46$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.045,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No38c445.52$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.2223057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No22c429.3$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.21,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea1…6072backed Yes62c410$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.21145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-34.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No38c334.78$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.288,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No32c311.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.9133745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6914335.7%51 W · 92 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc78…c479backed Yes73c273.47$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes61c269.09$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.141,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1631745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No77c236.41$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3726745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No25c218.1$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.2519630.6%60 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No19c214.36$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.361,29643%557 W · 739 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes65c192.31$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1259256.5%52 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No63c164.42$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.281,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ff1…c554backed Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c64…cb26backed Yes64c157$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.483844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb43b…f637backed Yes62c155.8$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No44c153.72$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3919953.3%106 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No45c151.62$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8494848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda25…abafbacked Yes66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005867.2%39 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed No33c134.89$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.0810157.4%58 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No35c134.04$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.891,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes30c130.7$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2125625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No38c129.07$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4813451.5%69 W · 65 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea87…8066backed No39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.213333.3%11 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes63c122$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.862,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes66c121.21$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No34c120$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8414254.9%78 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf693…995ebacked Yes63c109.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.33839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes36c100.65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0642946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5370…84adbacked Yes78c100$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-39.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes63c99.11$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.441,30350.1%653 W · 650 L-14.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No35c98.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3413545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d6d…6b36backed Yes64c98.52$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec25…dec6backed Yes64c94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.164854.2%26 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No18c93.79$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.911,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No38c90.26$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.31,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce1…a25dbacked Yes62c90$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.82853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa596…15e9backed Yes62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5077151.4%396 W · 375 L-3.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b9c…6dacbacked Yes62c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes31c77.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3571619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d0a…1bd3backed Yes66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes64c75$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483221.9%7 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes26c73.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8837540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes64c72.77$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8270055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ad…4eebbacked Yes62c70.97$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410767.3%72 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1f…36dbbacked Yes65c70.31$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed No19c68.25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.083458.8%20 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Yes63c65.45$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2311858.5%69 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No37c62.9$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.452,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Yes66c60.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407655.3%42 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Yes50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309344.1%41 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64f2…c2a5backed Yes66c57.49$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17f0…00c7backed Yes77c57.23$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick77cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes63c57.13$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.931,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2023044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.510847.2%51 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x628d…a012backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206836.8%25 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b9f…feb7backed Yes65c46.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0614…ff8bbacked Yes66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308555.3%47 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010966.1%72 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No37c45.07$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3518452.2%96 W · 88 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x166e…3303backed Yes31c41.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138137%30 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Yes63c40.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8218859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Yes63c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.217560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No38c39.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9316740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bef…17eabacked Yes63c39.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes63c38.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4147758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes63c37.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.644959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Yes77c35$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.951729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-51%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No69c34.8$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8130858.4%180 W · 128 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d6b…aaa3backed Yes63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205234.6%18 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac6c…d0d4backed Yes80c31.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.861471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No35c30.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8229053.8%156 W · 134 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Yes66c30.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012439.5%49 W · 75 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2617…4129backed Yes66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e88…bd30backed Yes65c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.257656.6%43 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x473e…c0f6backed Yes68c23.87$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.342227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-55%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4db8…975ebacked Yes63c23.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.02666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes63c23.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520142.3%85 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Yes63c23.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512755.1%70 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed No67c22.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3620138.3%77 W · 124 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fcb…207cbacked Yes63c19.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.424362.8%27 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbce5…ac21backed Yes63c19.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes63c17.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8563657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a1…ab16backed Yes65c16.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114872.9%35 W · 13 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+18.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014446.5%67 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.