CS2 · resolved market
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by April 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee2f2424095f3f3775e8226ee3c265135165829ed316d7dd0ead31df6b17079a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $335,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $254,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $335,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 21,547$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.78 | 70 | 0%0 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68f…e7dfbacked Yes | 1c | 19,335$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f50…763cbacked Yes | 1c | 17,661$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc911…0b42backed Yes | 3c | 17,262$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…4e93backed Yes | 7c | 11,293$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41dc…9c3dbacked Yes | 14c | 5,947$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.37 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes | 10c | 5,837$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee86…c85fbacked Yes | 4c | 5,555$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b9…5221backed Yes | 9c | 5,318$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.66 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbc…c146backed Yes | 20c | 5,015$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2549…b129backed Yes | 3c | 4,707$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa2…2bb4backed Yes | 4c | 4,538$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe976…ce2bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,085$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…4eedbacked Yes | 4c | 3,841$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed Yes | 16c | 3,652$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.68 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2b…0728backed Yes | 3c | 3,550$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a04…1332backed Yes | 28c | 3,260$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac0…2c8bbacked Yes | 15c | 3,195$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…0e14backed Yes | 2c | 3,155$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…fdfcbacked Yes | 4c | 2,627$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad8…9d99backed Yes | 4c | 2,582$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…04b7backed Yes | 16c | 2,523$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadad…cc57backed Yes | 18c | 2,253$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f75…7e47backed Yes | 14c | 2,004$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked No | 80c | 2,000$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.62 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3188…870bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,898$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…2a35backed Yes | 7c | 1,863$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…2bc4backed No | 76c | 1,823$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f4…0f4abacked Yes | 6c | 1,803$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.77 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadcf…d21cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,667$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…886abacked Yes | 2c | 1,595$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9277…2be7backed Yes | 13c | 1,543$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbba1…855bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,533$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f9…47cdbacked Yes | 10c | 1,505$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…580dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,500$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb145…96ccbacked Yes | 10c | 1,499$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…52a3backed No | 80c | 1,438$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…7a8fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,433$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa2…d4dfbacked Yes | 18c | 1,428$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f4…5890backed Yes | 40c | 1,428$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db9…0a33backed Yes | 7c | 1,361$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes | 4c | 1,335$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb92c…e403backed Yes | 7c | 1,328$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaf…b5d5backed Yes | 19c | 1,311$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.95 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,307$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 75 | 9.3%7 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e52…1760backed Yes | 4c | 1,307$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b7…1d0abacked Yes | 15c | 1,266$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Yes | 22c | 1,139$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57c1…cab7backed Yes | 36c | 1,097$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810f…3e87backed Yes | 10c | 1,085$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…1aeabacked Yes | 9c | 1,050$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…7e6dbacked Yes | 39c | 1,021$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…32cabacked Yes | 2c | 1,010$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…2ee5backed Yes | 5c | 1,007$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9978…a49ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,005$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,003$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x364e…8f44backed Yes | 26c | 1,002$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…7e26backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 21c | 1,000$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.5 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked No | 65c | 999.97$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a78…bcc7backed Yes | 5c | 993.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6784…7c61backed Yes | 5c | 987.46$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…daf0backed Yes | 2c | 980.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 130 | 60%78 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c00…c473backed Yes | 23c | 946.09$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 9c | 914.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…0475backed Yes | 10c | 896.4$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a4…277fbacked Yes | 2c | 887.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ab…a365backed Yes | 14c | 870.13$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd1…8deebacked Yes | 4c | 795.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…366bbacked Yes | 7c | 795.26$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bc…a080backed Yes | 29c | 790$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae97…28dabacked Yes | 13c | 776.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d7…0f36backed No | 74c | 765.42$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc10a…45bfbacked Yes | 13c | 762.09$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.02 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f39…1f52backed Yes | 12c | 723.17$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc01d…f5eabacked Yes | 13c | 684.5$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d1…873ebacked Yes | 8c | 654.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa174…34f4backed Yes | 11c | 651.02$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked Yes | 4c | 644.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb09…fbd2backed Yes | 14c | 637.94$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b76…4a65backed Yes | 15c | 637.02$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd3…381abacked Yes | 2c | 635$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 6c | 612.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81be…a441backed Yes | 3c | 597$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7a…fb1dbacked Yes | 10c | 584.27$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…524abacked Yes | 12c | 581.74$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2afebacked Yes | 16c | 581.17$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a98…232fbacked Yes | 2c | 556$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419f…e853backed Yes | 7c | 528.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba9…a78cbacked Yes | 10c | 525.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4908…0784backed Yes | 22c | 515.45$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1634…b32fbacked Yes | 39c | 511.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f61…e259backed Yes | 11c | 505$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked Yes | 3c | 502.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked Yes | 20c | 501.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6d…76f5backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed No | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x790e…b82dbacked No | 75c | 500$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x119a…2192backed Yes | 10c | 477.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by April 30, 2026?this page
- Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by February 28, 2026?No won
- Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?No won
- Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.