Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x992747b7e3cb517535def0ff127dcb4974c40ff127cb58b6fad7d8aa2ccff353
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,112 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked No | 28c | 3,500$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d93…7f30backed No | 55c | 2,253$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 75c | 1,603$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.33 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb05…accbbacked No | 1c | 1,492$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 23c | 1,402$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.85 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…0051backed No | 50c | 1,195$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…dd15backed Yes | 50c | 867$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252c…391abacked Yes | 50c | 812$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +135.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9818…7cd3backed Yes | 45c | 779$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +151.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f8…6c22backed Yes | 45c | 750$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325a…a634backed Yes | 45c | 724$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b1…7754backed Yes | 50c | 692$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1847…d94abacked Yes | 79c | 635.11$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…5f6abacked No | 50c | 573$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked No | 47c | 539.98$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.79 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 79c | 497.62$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af9…2cdbbacked No | 50c | 449$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b41…764cbacked Yes | 79c | 417.72$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.8wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…88a8backed No | 20c | 403.23$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.51 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked Yes | 50c | 373$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +127.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 16c | 359.26$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.03 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…9b51backed No | 50c | 343$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Yes | 53c | 339.62$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.62 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +17.2wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 51c | 330.98$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.18 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3e…ca47backed Yes | 80c | 327.5$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86e…8dfcbacked Yes | 77c | 314.62$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x144c…217ebacked No | 24c | 290$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed No | 21c | 208$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…7642backed No | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 52c | 193.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 52c | 192.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.83 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…d491backed Yes | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked No | 22c | 134.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb037…3042backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…b7b5backed Yes | 79c | 120.84$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Yes | 76c | 113.16$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…3976backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…0801backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe42…a10fbacked Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed No | 16c | 91.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a97…ec85backed No | 25c | 88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5883…0eccbacked Yes | 52c | 77.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 31c | 64.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 50c | 60.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f52…ce1bbacked Yes | 78c | 51.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c9…7863backed Yes | 78c | 47.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 76c | 30.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 196 | 54.6%107 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4378…5bb8backed Yes | 52c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…b669backed Yes | 53c | 28.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 46c | 24.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5c…8080backed Yes | 52c | 21.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2090…904cbacked Yes | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac78…3555backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-03-07?No won
- Will Southampton FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.