Premier League · resolved market
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c4854f58c2cff211ee0874378e0ea6a1baedf7f41233d343260ccadab158888
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,239 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 3c | 5,001$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.66 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…5751backed Yes | 23c | 1,772$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 26c | 1,250$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.78 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 24c | 1,050$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 73c | 1,039$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.98 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f4…d6debacked No | 77c | 922$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…76f4backed No | 77c | 850$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…9ac1backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 19c | 199.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 75c | 176$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…7cf7backed Yes | 30c | 168.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 74c | 119.23$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 13c | 79.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 78c | 69.48$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 20c | 62.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 22c | 53.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 79c | 42.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +22.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f52…ce1bbacked No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 23.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Southampton FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-03-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.