Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Grand Canyon Antelopes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72f830efb30186a98f8947aa4de77a20f7d69456c1bf4e4d61a7b3ea077820bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grand Canyon Antelopesof San Diego State Aztecs, Grand Canyon Antelopes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b23…0d60backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 65c | 1,097$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed San Diego State Aztecs | 35c | 725$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…e62fbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 35c | 563$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0367…1c15backed San Diego State Aztecs | 11c | 560$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 20cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d22…da8bbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes | 65c | 537$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +140.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed San Diego State Aztecs | 11c | 425$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…8238backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 65c | 369$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…54a7backed San Diego State Aztecs | 35c | 369$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +380.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…36b2backed San Diego State Aztecs | 35c | 367$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4805backed San Diego State Aztecs | 16c | 290$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…f545backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 65c | 188$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…271abacked San Diego State Aztecs | 35c | 167$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…6190backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed San Diego State Aztecs | 21c | 90.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…25d4backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 50c | 52.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed San Diego State Aztecs | 45c | 44.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.