Movies · resolved market
Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Motion Picture – Animated at the 83rd Golden Globes?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ef2f4402e8f9733b8d50d4b4d5652a11cea63fe140aa8269c1f8b6fcba8f9b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 9c | 13,934$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.95 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 9c | 4,420$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.61 | 194 | 40.2%78 W · 116 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed Yes | 77c | 3,693$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 8c | 2,598$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.67 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 25c | 2,337$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.16 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 23c | 1,966$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 4c | 1,942$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.83 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 11c | 1,328$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.26 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 11c | 1,280$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.45 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 11c | 1,039$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.14 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb04e…d4aabacked No | 5c | 974.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 7c | 942$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.67 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 19c | 918$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.5 | 266 | 41.7%111 W · 155 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked No | 12c | 907.22$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.11 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed No | 19c | 854$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.26 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85dc…7ebfbacked No | 12c | 847.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 14c | 771.11$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.22 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e96…c895backed No | 15c | 746$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.9 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed No | 17c | 743$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.31 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 14c | 560$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 8c | 550$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 11c | 538.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 170 | 10%17 W · 153 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…8f79backed No | 19c | 526.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.61 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 4c | 500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 4c | 449.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 9c | 444.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…5735backed No | 19c | 437$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.03 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 5c | 418.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 111 | 4.5%5 W · 106 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb768…2295backed Yes | 71c | 399.99$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 17c | 397.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked No | 15c | 397$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.55 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked No | 9c | 355.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 12c | 321.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…ab7cbacked Yes | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed No | 5c | 280$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…ad17backed Yes | 72c | 278.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.09 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 9c | 275.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4ab1backed No | 4c | 274.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa5…ed0bbacked No | 10c | 266.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed No | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 79c | 233.03$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked No | 11c | 211.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 6c | 201.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 90 | 1.1%1 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…c4edbacked No | 6c | 198.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…4ef5backed No | 16c | 198.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 8c | 190.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 23c | 178$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked No | 9c | 158.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -44%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 29c | 157$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…f02bbacked No | 19c | 148$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 20c | 146.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e53…d70ebacked No | 9c | 145.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed No | 9c | 141$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…66acbacked No | 14c | 140.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 15c | 126.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked No | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31fb…6841backed Yes | 71c | 112$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520d…babebacked No | 38c | 110.02$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 20c | 104$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef6d…e751backed Yes | 80c | 101.72$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…9c20backed No | 16c | 91.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed No | 19c | 77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 75c | 68.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 20c | 66.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf091…953abacked Yes | 79c | 52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed No | 26c | 51.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 76c | 32.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 206 | 68.9%142 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4610…0eb3backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c19…8661backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9e…154abacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…6accbacked Yes | 77c | 17.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ea…86efbacked Yes | 76c | 17.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Motion Picture – Animated at the 83rd Golden Globes?this page
- Will Arco win Best Motion Picture – Animated at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Demon Slayer Kimetsu No Yaiba win Best Motion Picture – Animated at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Little Amelie or the Character of Rain win Best Motion Picture – Animated at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Ne Zha 2 win Best Motion Picture – Animated at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Zootopia 2 win Best Motion Picture – Animated at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.