TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$231,046
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$237,747

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,046 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No66c23,760$15,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,180.72,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cfe…1afcbacked Yes0c22,990$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes30c15,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.996360.3%38 W · 25 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No70c14,098$9,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,226.368354.2%45 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c9,834$6,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,846.9168750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed Yes27c7,500$2,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,024.991827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefa8…a55abacked Yes28c7,140$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-43.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No67c7,069$4,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,301.9196942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No72c7,000$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9607248.6%35 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No70c6,688$4,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,006.3145547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7037…7ba4backed Yes26c6,270$1,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes28c6,150$1,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72213517%23 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Yes30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.99944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+31.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdba7…c3c4backed Yes30c3,277$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed No72c3,202$2,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.62466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes80c3,133$2,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,503.58850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Yes28c3,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8401154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked No73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8102171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes32c2,786$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.3446742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes26c2,690$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.411153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf72a…944ebacked Yes30c2,544$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6574…53ffbacked Yes11c2,281$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No71c2,056$1,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.3922348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e3e…e3ebbacked No80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a9c…c9aebacked Yes30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes28c1,965$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.9340549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No76c1,938$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.2749850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x389b…8d69backed Yes26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes6c1,843$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3320431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes71c1,603$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.4193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes20c1,358$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.6720033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed No72c1,330$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-36.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x763f…81e9backed No76c1,300$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3121100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No72c1,295$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.644447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc377…3e5dbacked Yes1c1,250$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes53c1,214$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.31911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-72.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes67c1,182$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.7432843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No77c1,176$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.061,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b4…d3aabacked No71c1,100$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3191100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x332a…98bebacked Yes11c1,080$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00a3…575cbacked Yes29c1,054$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.763754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2805064%32 W · 18 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf250…de38backed Yes29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick51cpaid-74.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x76f6…21bebacked Yes31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+39.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009631.3%30 W · 66 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c958.47$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.2598544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes56c900$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50431738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b3…c36cbacked Yes29c800$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191c…f0b4backed Yes23c773.91$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed No26c770.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.374641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked No73c740$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.81346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1fc…bcdfbacked No70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.29666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes12c706.81$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.959627.1%26 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cb4…f89dbacked No72c699.99$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1962100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes20c698.23$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.83016.7%5 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-28.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked No72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.44425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes30c670$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019154.9%50 W · 41 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed No47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.33860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+29.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xace9…f74abacked Yes26c628.45$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.291127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-55.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes42c620$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.888357.8%48 W · 35 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed No43c600$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3423351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked Yes3c584.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.523417.6%6 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+54.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked No36c570$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.612157.1%12 W · 9 L+5.9wins+0.28per pick29cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x359d…d7ebbacked Yes22c562.55$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.84520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed Yes28c534$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.523033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes61c533.52$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.0634643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No73c529.93$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.0826040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a62…57cabacked Yes29c517.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No72c512.64$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.144753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.82236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec82…04b5backed No50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+58.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked No65c499.99$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1751573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57af…cd44backed No72c499.93$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes26c473.08$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1238334.9%29 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c29…1478backed Yes28c450$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1263844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed No46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.783542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed No46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.78650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b9…0fc6backed Yes8c412.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes4c400$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-40.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No24c400$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3047226.4%19 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed No71c394.37$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.371764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6039…9496backed No46c385$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.251662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed No63c374.91$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.476768.7%46 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0959…6b92backed No21c357.14$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03d1…ffaabacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No76c356$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4422373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes29c351.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.435726.3%15 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa99a…388ebacked No50c346.89$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.441258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+25.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed No67c345.92$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.841936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Yes13c341.32$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452450%12 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc2…b834backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+41.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d6d…8601backed Yes30c329.86$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.75520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-74.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2518…45f4backed Yes28c325$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9140%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2d9…f193backed Yes42c324.33$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.312330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73c1…1eaebacked Yes18c323.07$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.15728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No73c322$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.942347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes58c319.3$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.198342.2%35 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8675…e850backed Yes30c312.39$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.272231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aeb…f534backed Yes25c301.52$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.