Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs REKONIX (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6de7f26f2d5d00075ba58996df6e60f022b5d7d94aabbc919392aa6acbd962bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed REKONIX | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.99 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Team Spirit | 80c | 3,162$2,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.1 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Team Spirit | 78c | 2,141$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.75 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked REKONIX | 13c | 2,070$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.19 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked REKONIX | 10c | 1,843$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.94 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +11.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked REKONIX | 15c | 1,105$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.95 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed REKONIX | 14c | 1,038$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.89 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked REKONIX | 8c | 1,020$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked REKONIX | 21c | 829.32$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.57 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX | 18c | 725.77$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.38 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Team Spirit | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed REKONIX | 8c | 505$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…f4a4backed Team Spirit | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed REKONIX | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed REKONIX | 24c | 499.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee70…4ad6backed REKONIX | 20c | 491$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Spirit | 78c | 486.13$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.19 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcabd…021dbacked REKONIX | 25c | 476.68$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +215.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed REKONIX | 19c | 455.49$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Team Spirit | 75c | 454.16$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.41 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa787…a9d1backed REKONIX | 20c | 453$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.44 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…d45fbacked REKONIX | 5c | 429.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked REKONIX | 19c | 403.39$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.16 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked REKONIX | 18c | 384.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.73 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked REKONIX | 7c | 380$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…7d4abacked Team Spirit | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Team Spirit | 76c | 328.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59e8…b8f7backed Team Spirit | 77c | 294.12$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Team Spirit | 80c | 282.89$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Spirit | 78c | 273.63$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.93 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…3fa6backed REKONIX | 19c | 266.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x275f…39d9backed REKONIX | 22c | 248.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed REKONIX | 25c | 195$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…e363backed REKONIX | 13c | 172.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed REKONIX | 24c | 166$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9383backed REKONIX | 10c | 164.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked REKONIX | 9c | 163.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…ae46backed Team Spirit | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed REKONIX | 23c | 123.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked REKONIX | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe0…4fafbacked REKONIX | 24c | 110$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed REKONIX | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d80…7a4bbacked Team Spirit | 77c | 97.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked REKONIX | 19c | 94.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed REKONIX | 16c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb878…e3e2backed Team Spirit | 80c | 81.48$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked REKONIX | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked REKONIX | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa090…9854backed Team Spirit | 76c | 65.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Team Spirit | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed REKONIX | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…ef06backed Team Spirit | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed REKONIX | 20c | 58.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35a7…4293backed REKONIX | 20c | 57.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44b0…2a3fbacked REKONIX | 23c | 51.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked REKONIX | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Team Spirit | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Team Spirit | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…d755backed Team Spirit | 77c | 38.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…3bfbbacked Team Spirit | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Team Spirit | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf86…b1c1backed Team Spirit | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.