CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d52ddbc50d4e1c8226453173b8960861fe9ddd668adc76bcf7712f183310bd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Astralis | 31c | 3,779$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.56 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed FUT Esports | 67c | 2,805$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.35 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FUT Esports | 70c | 2,496$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.84 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed FUT Esports | 70c | 2,431$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.79 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Astralis | 31c | 2,373$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.63 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Astralis | 37c | 2,228$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.02 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Astralis | 36c | 1,821$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.19 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked FUT Esports | 49c | 1,700$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FUT Esports | 56c | 1,639$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.83 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Astralis | 56c | 1,490$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.69 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked FUT Esports | 56c | 1,093$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.39 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FUT Esports | 67c | 1,009$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.48 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…de82backed Astralis | 22c | 818.04$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de4…cd16backed Astralis | 41c | 717$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.84 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…f0a4backed Astralis | 43c | 702.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed FUT Esports | 69c | 649.11$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.51 | 262 | 51.1%134 W · 128 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 34c | 555.94$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.25 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Astralis | 45c | 520.44$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.83 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed FUT Esports | 57c | 502.33$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed FUT Esports | 55c | 423.18$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.43 | 157 | 43.3%68 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x213f…1da2backed Astralis | 45c | 404.44$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed FUT Esports | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc382…2b24backed FUT Esports | 74c | 388.72$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.07 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked FUT Esports | 64c | 351.37$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.89 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Astralis | 40c | 313.11$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.46 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Astralis | 9c | 230$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FUT Esports | 75c | 214.01$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…909abacked FUT Esports | 78c | 205.13$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked FUT Esports | 55c | 202.17$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cd…ced6backed Astralis | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed FUT Esports | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed FUT Esports | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked FUT Esports | 63c | 199.06$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.04 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Astralis | 25c | 159.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked FUT Esports | 53c | 156.62$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked Astralis | 35c | 152.06$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed FUT Esports | 60c | 149.9$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed FUT Esports | 70c | 143.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed FUT Esports | 61c | 126.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed FUT Esports | 59c | 125$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed FUT Esports | 68c | 122.54$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Astralis | 17c | 119.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb24…d6cdbacked Astralis | 26c | 116.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed FUT Esports | 54c | 112$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked FUT Esports | 59c | 100.26$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a36…74b8backed FUT Esports | 68c | 86.05$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…2890backed FUT Esports | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Astralis | 40c | 77.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Astralis | 27c | 77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed FUT Esports | 54c | 75.07$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed FUT Esports | 48c | 63.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed FUT Esports | 69c | 58.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked FUT Esports | 69c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…f102backed Astralis | 25c | 52.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36d…cbb1backed FUT Esports | 48c | 51.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x184e…b307backed Astralis | 48c | 51.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a22…f8d8backed FUT Esports | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4725…619bbacked FUT Esports | 64c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked FUT Esports | 58c | 43.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…225cbacked Astralis | 42c | 42.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8c…53d5backed FUT Esports | 51c | 41.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Astralis | 29c | 38.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4a…0561backed FUT Esports | 70c | 37.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Astralis | 34c | 29.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…cbdabacked Astralis | 35c | 28.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead6…b510backed FUT Esports | 63c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed FUT Esports | 63c | 26.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 254 | 16.9%43 W · 211 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked FUT Esports | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed FUT Esports | 61c | 17.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group AAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.