CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x252887d86da04989069a46965be37d22ed68a11e5bf4bb402abffc4ff1bb8983
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $368,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $428,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $368,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 51c | 148,437$75,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,485.3 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 49c | 69,968$34,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,284.47 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 5c | 53,536$2,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,615.35 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 48c | 41,529$19,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,933.81 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…9c9abacked Over | 6c | 21,250$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,051.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +162.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 13,343$6,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,404.48 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Over | 52c | 11,538$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,538.46 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d4…9b41backed Under | 49c | 7,958$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7be…3aa3backed Under | 50c | 6,212$3,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,106 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Under | 49c | 5,979$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.31 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…e780backed Under | 48c | 3,107$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.36 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Under | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Under | 49c | 1,836$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.55 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…4d2cbacked Over | 8c | 900$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 10cpaid | +373.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 2c | 881$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 50c | 809.3$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.65 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Under | 50c | 504$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…d91cbacked Over | 26c | 500$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +148.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 49c | 411.45$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.38 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aee…51a8backed Over | 48c | 275.62$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.32 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Under | 52c | 267.62$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.16 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 52c | 249.63$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.82 | 165 | 27.9%46 W · 119 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 54c | 225$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.64 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd4…35b5backed Over | 9c | 190$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 10cpaid | +220.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 51c | 157.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Over | 49c | 101$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99e…fa3dbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 55c | 69.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 18c | 55.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 50c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 24c | 44.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 56c | 41.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Over | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Under | 51c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Over | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce4…5f86backed Over | 51c | 25.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Under | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Under | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…b8a5backed Over | 50c | 20.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -73%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group AAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.