TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: OG vs REKONIX (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
OGof OG, REKONIX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,802
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,605

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,802 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc49f…9e05backed REKONIX22c4,000$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.510445.2%47 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX17c3,608$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.911,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed OG78c2,853$2,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.4147660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed REKONIX21c2,500$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.6746535.1%163 W · 302 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9679…9315backed OG78c2,385$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.6216058.8%94 W · 66 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed REKONIX22c2,300$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.999345.2%42 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed OG80c2,297$1,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.5534468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x960c…75d9backed OG77c1,678$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.82450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed REKONIX5c1,667$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6417740.7%72 W · 105 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e3a…780cbacked REKONIX23c1,500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3455839.7%23 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed OG75c1,431$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.4418452.2%96 W · 88 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked REKONIX22c1,425$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.5855157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked REKONIX15c1,364$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.82,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed REKONIX24c1,190$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.5128341%116 W · 167 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7b…0cc9backed OG77c1,148$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.447944.3%35 W · 44 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7072…abccbacked OG76c1,114$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.5812868%87 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76ef…561cbacked OG77c1,075$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.286460.9%39 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed REKONIX13c1,033$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.6715047.3%71 W · 79 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed OG78c1,031$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.311457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed OG78c1,006$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.917665.8%50 W · 26 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1aba…a21ebacked REKONIX23c999.98$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked REKONIX23c997.04$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.3212843.8%56 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed OG75c950$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.53354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3bc…2f60backed REKONIX21c873.03$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805843.1%25 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked OG77c851.54$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.251,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed OG79c830.64$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.4356848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d3c…3293backed OG76c816.27$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked REKONIX23c751.39$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.824146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed OG77c734.95$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.0457455.4%318 W · 256 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e88…5ddabacked OG77c700$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1617562.7%47 W · 28 L+11.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed OG77c699.97$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.9918550.8%94 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed REKONIX22c593.83$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.6489440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed REKONIX24c499.8$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9549133.6%165 W · 326 L+1.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked REKONIX24c480.42$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.369835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc78…a301backed REKONIX25c468.72$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.08425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-64.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc85d…6832backed REKONIX3c389.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1212438.7%48 W · 76 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed REKONIX25c354$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.56850%34 W · 34 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked REKONIX23c347.81$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed OG76c336.84$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.848543.5%37 W · 48 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb28a…6d4abacked REKONIX5c300$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed REKONIX29c250$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.516142.9%69 W · 92 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked OG78c240.95$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.016243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x276d…1cf4backed REKONIX22c235.36$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.843026.7%8 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1412…15d5backed OG80c227.08$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.61266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67c3…0e36backed OG77c219.48$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4812965.1%84 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a89…3e2abacked REKONIX13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2630041.3%124 W · 176 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked REKONIX24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4822845.6%104 W · 124 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed OG78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4453757.7%310 W · 227 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed REKONIX26c199.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5220838.9%81 W · 127 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e2…da93backed REKONIX24c198$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.52771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick43cpaid+69.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fd7…6c52backed REKONIX25c185$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.258934.8%31 W · 58 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde2e…439cbacked REKONIX14c170.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.562737%10 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed REKONIX21c170$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.523040%12 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x81e4…532fbacked OG77c162.32$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.333740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked OG77c155.51$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.513636.1%13 W · 23 L-5.6wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-31.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x50f7…6333backed OG76c145.99$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.041361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed70…4f63backed REKONIX25c140$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354045%18 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18ea…ae46backed OG77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.875771.9%41 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick72cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed OG80c126.24$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.511457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked OG75c125.12$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2817444.8%78 W · 96 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x275f…39d9backed REKONIX14c124$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.723423.5%8 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-58.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb878…e3e2backed OG80c119.07$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.821464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed REKONIX12c110.61$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9612229.5%36 W · 86 L-18.2wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-41.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked REKONIX14c110$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.91,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed REKONIX19c109.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5518143.6%79 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed REKONIX26c107.69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2816437.2%61 W · 103 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d79…c80bbacked OG71c102$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.584100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+129.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf91…3041backed OG74c101$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.96650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed OG79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa516…235cbacked OG75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2530643.5%133 W · 173 L-22.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c37…e7eebacked REKONIX26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+34.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked REKONIX26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.870236.6%257 W · 445 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked OG77c97.4$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.48061.3%49 W · 31 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked OG77c90.17$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.741,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d80…7a4bbacked OG78c89.74$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.743745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked REKONIX12c83.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2495841.1%394 W · 564 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed OG77c77$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7119242.7%82 W · 110 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4287…3d5ebacked REKONIX24c73.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.718342.2%35 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f42…c72fbacked OG77c70.13$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.13742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed OG77c65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.95875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+69.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed REKONIX24c62.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511836.4%43 W · 75 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed REKONIX21c60.93$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7911348.7%55 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked REKONIX22c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.220046%92 W · 108 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3873…dec8backed REKONIX21c57.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2213946%64 W · 75 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed OG73c55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8516835.7%60 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44b0…2a3fbacked REKONIX21c52.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.15650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked REKONIX25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.517638.6%68 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked REKONIX24c47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2813251.5%68 W · 64 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1786…6974backed REKONIX23c45.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.242441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa4…888cbacked OG73c39.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f3a…7dcbbacked OG78c32.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0520952.6%110 W · 99 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1466…3bfbbacked OG76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.322157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47e3…7b48backed OG78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.644100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+70%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed OG71c25.61$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4313827.5%38 W · 100 L-15.0wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-50.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x48f7…3aebbacked OG80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466848.5%324 W · 344 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3a1…64a3backed OG76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.81687.5%14 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.23per pick65cpaid+37.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc5f3…1fc1backed OG78c19.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.322885.7%24 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick73cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf86…b1c1backed OG77c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.489164.8%59 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa163…8ecbbacked OG74c18.92$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.92825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-55.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed OG76c17.2$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0697142.7%415 W · 556 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.