Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10582cfa4bddd8ba678caaa38ad39d21178de10d1c06cad7a65d1dcc259f1750
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x622a…2b59backed 1win | 1c | 6,666$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Aurora | 61c | 2,026$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.93 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94ce…86a8backed 1win | 18c | 1,217$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Aurora | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 1win | 41c | 960.54$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.85 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8e…af16backed 1win | 26c | 840.24$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed 1win | 60c | 662.28$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.75 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked 1win | 34c | 642.88$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.03 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked 1win | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Aurora | 76c | 561.52$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.29 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Aurora | 41c | 548.98$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.67 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win | 24c | 535.39$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…bb2fbacked 1win | 5c | 517.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Aurora | 68c | 513.43$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.18 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed 1win | 25c | 479.24$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed 1win | 16c | 416.66$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…a811backed 1win | 17c | 399.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97a…5855backed 1win | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed 1win | 54c | 372.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed Aurora | 70c | 365.07$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.12 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Aurora | 60c | 363.27$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.94 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 67c | 358.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.17 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked 1win | 34c | 357.56$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.21 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed 1win | 26c | 310.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora | 62c | 310.45$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.1 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed 1win | 55c | 307.89$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.07 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Aurora | 66c | 302.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.36 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Aurora | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked 1win | 16c | 278$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Aurora | 61c | 247.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.4 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 1win | 59c | 233.15$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.15 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Aurora | 65c | 230.52$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.84 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 44c | 213.21$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.9 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked 1win | 50c | 201.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed 1win | 14c | 199.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed 1win | 15c | 186.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed 1win | 15c | 166$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e7…ab94backed 1win | 65c | 153.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd227…0e69backed Aurora | 77c | 148.05$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Aurora | 66c | 147.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0db6…e1babacked 1win | 20c | 143.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…a8e9backed 1win | 39c | 124.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked 1win | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed 1win | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed 1win | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…83b8backed 1win | 25c | 95.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed 1win | 60c | 94.19$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked 1win | 16c | 92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8127…c407backed 1win | 16c | 90.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed 1win | 15c | 85.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe73a…b528backed Aurora | 78c | 85$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Aurora | 80c | 82.78$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked 1win | 57c | 82.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Aurora | 78c | 81.53$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked 1win | 33c | 76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…89d0backed Aurora | 71c | 70.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed 1win | 51c | 68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc140…ac80backed Aurora | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed 1win | 55c | 61.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…fd20backed 1win | 45c | 51.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Aurora | 79c | 50.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Aurora | 79c | 50.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 374 | 56.4%211 W · 163 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…8950backed 1win | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f42…c72fbacked Aurora | 60c | 49.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…d270backed Aurora | 57c | 48.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Aurora | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbd…191dbacked Aurora | 32c | 40.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368a…ea59backed Aurora | 39c | 39.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed 1win | 29c | 39.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…0abbbacked 1win | 31c | 39.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…3533backed 1win | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…ed72backed Aurora | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe45…f9a7backed Aurora | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed 1win | 63c | 31.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41eb…a8ebbacked Aurora | 77c | 26.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1d…fc19backed Aurora | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…307abacked Aurora | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf2…a4acbacked Aurora | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1409…9a8fbacked Aurora | 80c | 24.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed Aurora | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815b…050cbacked Aurora | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…24c2backed Aurora | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe290…7fb0backed Aurora | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 58cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 1 Winner1win won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5)1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.