TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb97a…5855

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$686.26
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+52.1%+$520.94
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+39.1%+$195.52
LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO5) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+185.7%+$557.14
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+94.8%+$284.37
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,227Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,226.93
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$399.92
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+112.8%+$451.06
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$879.82
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$130
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+104.1%+$15.61
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+174.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+2,765.1%+$829.54
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+50%+$500.26
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$500
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-41%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$754.39
All 4 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+61.9%+$619
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.