Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs 1win (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c2c278276b1d71091675e5f1ba19112e1642435865b163b52e42135e94ccaba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf801…901cbacked 1win | 42c | 4,154$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.76 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 2,252$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.46 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97a…5855backed 1win | 13c | 1,554$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 1,294$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.74 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed 1win | 3c | 1,034$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…d6a4backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 999.49$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.27 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed 1win | 30c | 994.78$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.71 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 989.98$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.69 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 900$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed 1win | 43c | 885.32$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.69 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 1win | 37c | 841.12$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.68 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 804.63$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.94 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e13…391fbacked 1win | 43c | 770.11$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.72 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd168…a9c3backed 1win | 14c | 724.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 1win | 20c | 695.82$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.52 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 1win | 33c | 544.3$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.55 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32b…90c8backed 1win | 17c | 499.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed 1win | 42c | 499.83$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.1 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 376.99$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.99 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8a…d30fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 365.82$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.08 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed 1win | 42c | 346.35$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.67 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed 1win | 43c | 259.33$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.51 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe67c…970bbacked 1win | 33c | 228.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked 1win | 43c | 219.37$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.55 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986f…e4d2backed 1win | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked 1win | 32c | 198.95$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.67 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 173.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.69 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…7349backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 164.71$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 143.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.21 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…b149backed 1win | 42c | 121$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 45 | 0%0 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed 1win | 43c | 120.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c10…7f43backed 1win | 42c | 110$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a2…2eebbacked 1win | 42c | 110$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed 1win | 27c | 105.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed 1win | 42c | 102.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed 1win | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 99.76$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed 1win | 23c | 99.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…89d0backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 82.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked 1win | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f20…d884backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed 1win | 42c | 77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 76.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed 1win | 45c | 70.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…d2d2backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d2…3c94backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 67.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed 1win | 31c | 67.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5b…b2c2backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…3058backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed 1win | 41c | 62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked 1win | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19dc…4b3fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa9…3b00backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed 1win | 43c | 59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11b9…4168backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 55.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 53.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked 1win | 45c | 53.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5899…4774backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed 1win | 35c | 47.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5d79…a4e0backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 46.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 45.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 45.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed 1win | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 43.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 43.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 42.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…c49fbacked 1win | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 36.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed 1win | 40c | 36.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed 1win | 42c | 34.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225a…0995backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…d755backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 33.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 31.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b4…3c44backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +47%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81c8…3a9abacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked 1win | 43c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed 1win | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…36f3backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31af…6ac1backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 22.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…3ac2backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed 1win | 56c | 18.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs 1win (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs 1win - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs 1win - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.