TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
GamerLegionof GamerLegion, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,634
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,757

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,634 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf9b5…09eebacked MOUZ36c15,139$5,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,496.7755157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x471e…290cbacked MOUZ0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed MOUZ51c7,000$3,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,549.9622647.3%107 W · 119 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed GamerLegion49c5,199$2,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,643.1232854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed GamerLegion74c3,601$2,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.534468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3532…3711backed GamerLegion61c2,705$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.634065%26 W · 14 L+7.0wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked MOUZ42c2,465$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04533850.9%172 W · 166 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed GamerLegion67c1,724$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.011,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked GamerLegion60c1,619$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.442,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked GamerLegion51c1,504$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.8839660.1%238 W · 158 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked GamerLegion65c1,368$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.681,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked GamerLegion64c1,183$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.721,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed GamerLegion49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5103040%12 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed MOUZ28c998.97$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.6759250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked GamerLegion68c856.31$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.0217444.8%78 W · 96 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed GamerLegion49c749.07$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.3954445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed GamerLegion60c700.99$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.031,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed MOUZ26c684.62$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17826453%140 W · 124 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked MOUZ37c673.89$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.1815852.5%83 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed GamerLegion63c636.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.0112459.7%74 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked GamerLegion54c582.88$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.3799844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed MOUZ49c580$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.860552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked GamerLegion74c523.15$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.811052.7%58 W · 52 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d7e…3248backed MOUZ31c439.39$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.218726.4%23 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked GamerLegion70c431.2$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.233845.6%154 W · 184 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed MOUZ28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11231545.4%143 W · 172 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked GamerLegion72c400$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.577458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5553…9235backed MOUZ34c306.76$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed GamerLegion49c285.71$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.7164149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed MOUZ37c271.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10045046.7%210 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ24c269.23$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.171,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed GamerLegion78c257.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.445166.7%34 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed MOUZ36c250.81$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.537549.3%185 W · 190 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4605…5299backed MOUZ8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208833%29 W · 59 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed GamerLegion49c238.78$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.7826957.6%155 W · 114 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefff…2d98backed MOUZ48c206.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016445.7%75 W · 89 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb22d…3a13backed GamerLegion49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0824045.4%109 W · 131 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed GamerLegion69c200$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.89339.8%37 W · 56 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02d7…0c39backed MOUZ20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020530.7%63 W · 142 L-0.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed MOUZ20c199.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4059556.6%337 W · 258 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0225…6e17backed GamerLegion49c191.12$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.472045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf828…00a5backed MOUZ27c187.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.955042%21 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d86…ea87backed GamerLegion64c170$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.25451.9%28 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed GamerLegion63c158.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d80…7a4bbacked GamerLegion40c158.05$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.833745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7b…0cc9backed MOUZ35c144.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507944.3%35 W · 44 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ27c120.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.581,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce1f…7392backed MOUZ26c110$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.767853.5%363 W · 315 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed GamerLegion56c106.32$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.329548.4%46 W · 49 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed MOUZ29c103$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.547748.6%232 W · 245 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed GamerLegion49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0472154%389 W · 332 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked GamerLegion37c100.89$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5612843.8%56 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked GamerLegion66c100.37$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.941,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked GamerLegion52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4838649.5%191 W · 195 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe4…706bbacked MOUZ35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351520%3 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-52.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed GamerLegion52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4853757.7%310 W · 227 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed MOUZ40c99.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9472637.5%272 W · 454 L+3.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed MOUZ63c99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.372161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed GamerLegion47c86.02$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4714039.3%55 W · 85 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed GamerLegion41c80.49$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.492931%9 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x65e0…e51dbacked MOUZ33c78.79$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2619443.3%84 W · 110 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c49…b222backed GamerLegion54c74.71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.712050%10 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed MOUZ34c67.9$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9411348.7%55 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a89…3e2abacked MOUZ30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030041.3%124 W · 176 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6185…e7f5backed GamerLegion42c64.29$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+42.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6438…255bbacked GamerLegion78c64.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.142657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed MOUZ28c63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.736169.7%60 W · 556 L-2.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed MOUZ40c55.86$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.582548%12 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1976…e363backed GamerLegion69c53.94$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.775646.4%26 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abc…1a6ebacked GamerLegion52c48.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.461764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67c3…0e36backed GamerLegion57c42.9$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4912965.1%84 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GamerLegion71c42.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.492,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7402…3ac2backed GamerLegion76c41.96$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.924161%25 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed GamerLegion72c41.65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6655561.8%343 W · 212 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed GamerLegion49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8231659.8%189 W · 127 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked MOUZ41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514965.8%98 W · 51 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2fe…d276backed GamerLegion56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-48.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13f3…12ffbacked MOUZ35c35.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1466…3bfbbacked MOUZ53c34.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.092157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5524…2f3cbacked GamerLegion49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.616844.1%30 W · 38 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf42c…786bbacked GamerLegion71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.74548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3873…dec8backed MOUZ34c29.53$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1213946%64 W · 75 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01a4…d2b5backed GamerLegion76c29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.875137.3%19 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked GamerLegion53c24.42$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5420452.9%108 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fe4…d697backed GamerLegion78c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-68.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.