TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof GamerLegion, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,815
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,841

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,815 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0dcf…c556backed GamerLegion42c10,872$4,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,545.7633746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked GamerLegion40c4,202$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.6334146.6%159 W · 182 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed MOUZ70c4,113$2,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24034468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9679…9315backed MOUZ62c3,370$2,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,29416058.8%94 W · 66 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed GamerLegion33c2,731$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.491,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed MOUZ59c1,892$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.1756848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e3a…780cbacked GamerLegion40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005839.7%23 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed GamerLegion37c1,350$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.489345.2%42 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed MOUZ60c1,247$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.8854445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed MOUZ59c1,073$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.8155751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ58c1,008$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.041,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ59c982.24$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.392,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked MOUZ62c938.19$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.3799844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df4…bb2fbacked GamerLegion45c805.15$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.141442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed MOUZ62c776.61$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.6147660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed MOUZ59c728.18$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.3960552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ55c703.74$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.981,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ58c660.14$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.351,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked GamerLegion38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023546.8%110 W · 125 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed MOUZ57c525.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.1734443.9%151 W · 193 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde2e…439cbacked GamerLegion41c522.54$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.172737%10 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked MOUZ61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19569835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed MOUZ63c478.91$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.9145046.7%210 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked MOUZ57c455.36$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.6255157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked MOUZ67c425.24$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3511052.7%58 W · 52 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x48f7…3aebbacked GamerLegion8c397.57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2466848.5%324 W · 344 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed MOUZ56c374.7$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.8731545.4%143 W · 172 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x07f8…cfaabacked MOUZ58c345.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.692458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked MOUZ61c326.72$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.4215852.5%83 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7b…0cc9backed MOUZ62c320.28$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.287944.3%35 W · 44 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbe2d…77b4backed MOUZ66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.034757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4605…5299backed GamerLegion21c290.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.038833%29 W · 59 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d86…ea87backed GamerLegion39c259.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.45451.9%28 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed GamerLegion35c259.25$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.61,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed MOUZ60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10026957.6%155 W · 114 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a4f…5459backed MOUZ63c246.78$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3111051.8%57 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked GamerLegion35c237.08$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.791,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf24…7d4abacked GamerLegion43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005149%25 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02d7…0c39backed GamerLegion20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020530.7%63 W · 142 L-0.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce1f…7392backed MOUZ60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8067853.5%363 W · 315 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked MOUZ63c182.51$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.134351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed GamerLegion43c181$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.83040%12 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed MOUZ60c165.19$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0848352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc85d…6832backed GamerLegion24c159.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.412438.7%48 W · 76 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed MOUZ65c158.77$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5737549.3%185 W · 190 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed MOUZ63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7359556.6%337 W · 258 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed MOUZ63c157.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8272154%389 W · 332 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x101f…b386backed GamerLegion38c132.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032154.8%176 W · 145 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed GamerLegion17c123.91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5618143.6%79 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a61…02d2backed GamerLegion38c107.89$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416956.5%39 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GamerLegion38c105.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.332,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c3c…0629backed MOUZ60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked MOUZ61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3937754.9%207 W · 170 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed GamerLegion37c99.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3737745.4%171 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26ff…2df7backed GamerLegion24c94.16$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.191030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc983…ebf0backed MOUZ65c88.35$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.51637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4946…89d0backed MOUZ60c83.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.44967.3%33 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fe4…706bbacked GamerLegion29c74.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.691520%3 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-52.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed MOUZ68c71.58$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5811054.5%60 W · 50 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3532…3711backed GamerLegion38c66.88$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.714065%26 W · 14 L+7.0wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6976…3185backed MOUZ57c59.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.834951%25 W · 24 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed GamerLegion43c56.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.233645.5%153 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42c…786bbacked GamerLegion41c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.34548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked GamerLegion42c47.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.177458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed GamerLegion42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2072637.5%272 W · 454 L+3.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3abc…1a6ebacked GamerLegion43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked GamerLegion25c46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.521822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-61.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed GamerLegion43c44.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1972035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e83…ecabbacked GamerLegion39c43.91$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.274156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked GamerLegion37c42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.741,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3873…dec8backed MOUZ61c37.54$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6413946%64 W · 75 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c49…b222backed MOUZ60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.332050%10 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe252…2071backed GamerLegion36c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.817149.7%85 W · 86 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4566…8063backed MOUZ60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123476.5%26 W · 8 L+6.6wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+41%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7402…3ac2backed GamerLegion38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.44161%25 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01a4…d2b5backed GamerLegion43c27.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.835137.3%19 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3637…b87fbacked MOUZ67c26.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.91450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3703…2795backed MOUZ60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1015341.2%63 W · 90 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5524…2f3cbacked MOUZ63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.816844.1%30 W · 38 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1976…e363backed MOUZ65c16.31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.645646.4%26 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.