Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2d9f06f05873d2011b0dcd287744bb59bf816158c81963da3423fb32c5991fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8adb…50bcbacked Virtus.pro | 1c | 5,555$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 2,527$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.32 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…c277backed Aurora | 80c | 2,374$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…8e9abacked Virtus.pro | 23c | 2,200$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb4…fa0fbacked Virtus.pro | 23c | 1,530$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Virtus.pro | 20c | 1,320$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a36…e201backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 1,300$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…01b2backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 1,162$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…519ebacked Aurora | 76c | 1,100$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb194…173fbacked Aurora | 77c | 1,100$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…3b78backed Virtus.pro | 24c | 1,100$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d9…4ce4backed Aurora | 77c | 1,100$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2693…1781backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 1,047$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Virtus.pro | 11c | 1,036$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.15 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 999.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0300…7bb4backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 854$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x238a…63bcbacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 841$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…a491backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 807$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ef…3413backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 791$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ec…219cbacked Aurora | 77c | 770$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefe…a0d2backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 765$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ab…5002backed Aurora | 77c | 760$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0a…e9f7backed Aurora | 69c | 752$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa546…fa04backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 701$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Aurora | 77c | 700$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46dd…fd2abacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 689$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3f…3f83backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 681$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…b96bbacked Aurora | 75c | 630$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…7d4abacked Aurora | 80c | 625.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.38 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee50…9e60backed Aurora | 69c | 618$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.58 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 610.84$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.11 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb345…982ebacked Aurora | 80c | 594.75$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f4…97ebbacked Aurora | 80c | 594.62$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f9…3de2backed Aurora | 75c | 572$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4c…7469backed Aurora | 69c | 544$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Aurora | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virtus.pro | 12c | 522.36$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.33 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf03c…3effbacked Aurora | 75c | 512$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a2…9179backed Aurora | 69c | 506$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036e…9377backed Aurora | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Virtus.pro | 23c | 499.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…0753backed Aurora | 75c | 462$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb934…6cafbacked Aurora | 75c | 449$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54da…fa4cbacked Aurora | 75c | 395$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Virtus.pro | 11c | 329.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -7.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…2149backed Aurora | 75c | 322.67$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 316.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed20…0c3ebacked Aurora | 75c | 316$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6def…2ce0backed Aurora | 69c | 301$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd742…2fd4backed Aurora | 69c | 295$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf6…dad4backed Aurora | 75c | 286$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…b33cbacked Aurora | 75c | 279$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d4…7e8ebacked Aurora | 75c | 269$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad96…20eebacked Virtus.pro | 20c | 250$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bca…7d09backed Aurora | 75c | 239$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +141%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…5de3backed Aurora | 75c | 224$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Virtus.pro | 18c | 200.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…71d5backed Aurora | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…1a16backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Virtus.pro | 22c | 199.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183c…9bf6backed Aurora | 70c | 189$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Aurora | 78c | 184.12$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Aurora | 79c | 167.03$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 316 | 59.8%189 W · 127 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Virtus.pro | 23c | 165.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Aurora | 78c | 153.6$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…528abacked Virtus.pro | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…ca67backed Virtus.pro | 22c | 140$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Virtus.pro | 16c | 107.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Aurora | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e13…391fbacked Aurora | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x937b…1c0abacked Virtus.pro | 12c | 99.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3532…3711backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Virtus.pro | 21c | 80.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…2625backed Aurora | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…9cf6backed Virtus.pro | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…89d0backed Aurora | 77c | 65.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Virtus.pro | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…a109backed Aurora | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Virtus.pro | 22c | 59.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Aurora | 77c | 58.44$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Virtus.pro | 22c | 55.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Aurora | 78c | 55.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 54.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 50.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Virtus.pro | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…600ebacked Aurora | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…12cbbacked Aurora | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Aurora | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Aurora | 75c | 25.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked Aurora | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed Aurora | 79c | 15.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5285…1457backed Aurora | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.