TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cloud9of Sentinels, Cloud9
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$187,518
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$179,858

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,518 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x43ff…a491backed Sentinels1c20,748$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.6718554.1%100 W · 85 L+18.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Sentinels30c17,150$5,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,213.9748149.7%239 W · 242 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Sentinels36c7,552$2,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,703.211,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Cloud959c5,697$3,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,311.911,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Cloud962c4,919$3,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.921,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Cloud964c4,583$2,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.5385442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Cloud957c4,483$2,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,914.531,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Sentinels34c4,312$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.3835431.1%110 W · 244 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Cloud964c3,811$2,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.9125447.6%121 W · 133 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Cloud964c3,570$2,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.931,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Sentinels34c3,557$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.221,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Cloud971c3,235$2,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.7160347.9%289 W · 314 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Sentinels42c3,100$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.7845041.1%185 W · 265 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x124e…6802backed Cloud968c3,074$2,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.4816254.9%89 W · 73 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Cloud961c3,013$1,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.0295041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Sentinels37c2,761$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.1391854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Cloud945c2,693$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.322,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Cloud967c2,547$1,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.8876142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed Sentinels33c2,424$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.8626443.6%115 W · 149 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Cloud969c2,165$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.2367250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Cloud940c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20063546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed Sentinels48c1,969$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.1289943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Cloud960c1,725$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.7549549.1%243 W · 252 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb003…d962backed Sentinels31c1,668$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.9679151.8%410 W · 381 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Sentinels30c1,581$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.841,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Sentinels59c1,567$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.111,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Sentinels33c1,486$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.043,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Sentinels30c1,482$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.4896250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb188…1b06backed Cloud973c1,390$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.628852.3%46 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Sentinels4c1,324$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.169539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9876…69f7backed Sentinels59c1,244$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.53860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sentinels10c1,223$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.062,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0960…5adcbacked Sentinels52c1,124$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.512642.1%53 W · 73 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Sentinels39c1,029$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.7956341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Cloud970c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked Cloud970c999.99$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30013761.3%84 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Sentinels34c939.15$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.781,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Sentinels37c936.98$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34336647.3%173 W · 193 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1e…4123backed Sentinels31c926.97$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.369851%50 W · 48 L-9.2wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-14.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Sentinels30c910.04$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.011,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed Sentinels30c903.65$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.141,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Sentinels36c859.15$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.7216240.7%66 W · 96 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Sentinels29c842.51$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.3317839.3%70 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf7…6d62backed Sentinels41c828.35$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.575637.5%21 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Sentinels49c745.87$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.121,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Cloud969c686.98$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.961,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14fb…263abacked Sentinels30c684.82$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.974630.4%14 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed Sentinels54c680$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.263161.2%386 W · 245 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3cd…9f3ebacked Sentinels60c650.67$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.415257.9%88 W · 64 L+10.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Cloud967c646.89$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.7576953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Sentinels36c629.53$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.391,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Cloud970c624.32$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.3150848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed Sentinels31c610.72$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.3233143.8%145 W · 186 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed Sentinels54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32435346.7%165 W · 188 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Sentinels24c583.2$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.961,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd83…7d7cbacked Sentinels33c582.69$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9521559.5%128 W · 87 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed Sentinels56c578.57$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32427254.4%148 W · 124 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Cloud970c570.93$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.211,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13b4…f4d9backed Cloud970c560.21$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.4126062.7%163 W · 97 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c67…9896backed Sentinels62c542.15$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.0450646%233 W · 273 L+2.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x36f2…4ca4backed Sentinels48c501.98$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.2415062%93 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9547…9dcfbacked Cloud955c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed Sentinels53c464.29$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.8544042%185 W · 255 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fef…8c79backed Sentinels42c459.79$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.0426246.9%123 W · 139 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1da9…13ecbacked Cloud943c449.21$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.052343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd878…4a4cbacked Sentinels31c437.62$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.663650%18 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Sentinels22c433.89$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.671,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Cloud971c427.42$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.11,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Sentinels14c415.23$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.799338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1fd…4ab3backed Sentinels47c411.35$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.246058.3%35 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Cloud948c402.71$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.4442852.3%224 W · 204 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed Sentinels36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14442050.5%212 W · 208 L+27.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Sentinels30c388.76$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6314754.4%80 W · 67 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ed…7103backed Cloud962c383.03$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.12742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ee0…ae41backed Cloud963c382.69$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.697664.5%49 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Sentinels50c373.76$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.981,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1173…1d74backed Sentinels30c358.1$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4333040.3%133 W · 197 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed Cloud954c356.99$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.4450647.2%239 W · 267 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Sentinels38c345.27$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.139743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x10ac…0e0bbacked Sentinels59c334.55$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.8217840.4%72 W · 106 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Sentinels29c334.52$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0174344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Cloud944c329.45$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.4922349.3%110 W · 113 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x664b…17e0backed Sentinels11c322.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.461097.3%8 W · 101 L-0.3wins0.00per pick8cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36a0…436dbacked Cloud951c314.99$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.347738.6%184 W · 293 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Sentinels13c302.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7573237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Cloud914c300$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.225331.2%79 W · 174 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Cloud970c294.6$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3826859.7%160 W · 108 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked Cloud970c294.48$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2559241.9%248 W · 344 L-16.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Cloud969c284.46$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1839055.4%216 W · 174 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a99…51bbbacked Sentinels37c262.87$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3182650%413 W · 413 L+3.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Cloud960c260.14$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.992,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Cloud963c250$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.192,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Cloud915c247.94$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.0533124.2%80 W · 251 L-33.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-43.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4b1a…b6f3backed Cloud932c229.79$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.2611535.7%41 W · 74 L-8.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x87df…48f3backed Cloud969c227.57$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.555466.7%36 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe37a…45dfbacked Sentinels43c223.17$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.618938.2%34 W · 55 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Cloud968c212.03$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8520756%116 W · 91 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed Sentinels46c210.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7657151.5%294 W · 277 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5441…cb00backed Sentinels28c205.94$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.222623.1%6 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked Sentinels57c205.38$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.0716555.2%91 W · 74 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.