TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sentinelsof Cloud9, Sentinels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,420
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,950

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,420 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe308…25cdbacked Cloud950c6,902$3,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,464.1166437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Sentinels79c6,165$4,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.331,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x509d…0a6bbacked Sentinels47c2,932$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.9467056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Sentinels51c2,706$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.7370456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Sentinels48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0401,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb98…6730backed Cloud952c1,717$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.59728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e71…eba7backed Sentinels48c1,560$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.212349.6%61 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Sentinels51c1,020$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50037245.2%168 W · 204 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Sentinels51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49010648.1%51 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Sentinels48c998.27$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.11,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Cloud949c989.18$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.791854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Sentinels50c984.62$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.3130050.3%151 W · 149 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Cloud952c850.54$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.2849549.1%243 W · 252 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Cloud949c825$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.2531337.7%118 W · 195 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Cloud953c812.28$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.5126448.5%128 W · 136 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Cloud950c777$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.51,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Cloud956c730.25$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.821,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Cloud924c625$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.6633124.2%80 W · 251 L-33.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-43.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Cloud952c582.72$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.0142148.2%203 W · 218 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Cloud917c542$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.418038.9%70 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Cloud954c538.67$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9456341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sentinels45c467.49$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.122,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Cloud923c430.16$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.643233.8%146 W · 286 L-20.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Cloud918c400$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.625331.2%79 W · 174 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94ba…001dbacked Cloud911c400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441931.6%6 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick13cpaid+113.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x276b…c0c8backed Cloud911c400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick13cpaid+74.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Cloud924c397$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1142124.7%104 W · 317 L-51.1wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-47%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Cloud951c386.68$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.0428150.5%142 W · 139 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Cloud952c350$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18223932.6%78 W · 161 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Cloud914c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4211316.8%19 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+65.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Cloud948c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.6742852.3%224 W · 204 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Cloud953c286.68$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9413357.1%76 W · 57 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Sentinels50c286.15$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.0810165.3%66 W · 35 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Sentinels49c285.97$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.8510355.3%57 W · 46 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Sentinels48c285.8$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.613956.4%22 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac4…cdddbacked Cloud953c273.66$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.042334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-31.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Cloud922c266$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5634235.7%122 W · 220 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Sentinels50c252.2$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.127050.7%137 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Cloud911c251.33$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.584418.2%8 W · 36 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick12cpaid+135.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Cloud924c225$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.59227.2%25 W · 67 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick16cpaid+36.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Sentinels49c216.91$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.771,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed Cloud923c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4617543.4%76 W · 99 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Cloud923c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4638743.9%170 W · 217 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Cloud923c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4617739.5%70 W · 107 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Cloud955c199.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11060538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked Cloud953c197.17$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.544046.4%204 W · 236 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Sentinels45c185.34$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.931,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Sentinels43c178.78$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.6660849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6722…865fbacked Cloud949c148.38$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7111443.9%50 W · 64 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Cloud953c144.85$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.775954.2%32 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9547…9dcfbacked Cloud974c144$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.54666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Cloud922c133$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7843040.9%176 W · 254 L-1.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Cloud922c133$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7860738.7%235 W · 372 L+2.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Cloud922c133$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7859740.7%243 W · 354 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Cloud922c133$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7849739.4%196 W · 301 L+2.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Cloud922c133$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7872637.7%274 W · 452 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Sentinels52c126$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4826856.7%152 W · 116 L+1.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Cloud916c120$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.62412.5%3 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+149.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Sentinels50c116.4$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.25453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x384d…d538backed Sentinels51c110$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.31553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Cloud953c102.96$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3816851.2%86 W · 82 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Cloud923c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2335048%168 W · 182 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Sentinels48c99.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5228559.6%170 W · 115 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d48…f5a2backed Sentinels50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.57244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Sentinels50c96.03$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0214561.4%89 W · 56 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ea2…370cbacked Sentinels51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6347434.8%165 W · 309 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Cloud953c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5925240.1%101 W · 151 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e4…6ee4backed Sentinels50c85.36$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.688557.6%49 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Sentinels66c84.18$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.492,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04c4…19fbbacked Cloud952c84.05$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.713652.2%71 W · 65 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Cloud954c81.89$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.861,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc22a…8259backed Cloud952c67.24$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9638144.6%170 W · 211 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Cloud953c66.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9846552.7%245 W · 220 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed Cloud953c58.31$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.91,17547.4%557 W · 618 L+42.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5252…a7cdbacked Cloud952c55.69$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1464435.4%228 W · 416 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a10…6e92backed Cloud953c55.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.154052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7894…7b9dbacked Sentinels49c50.42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.510253.9%55 W · 47 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Cloud953c45.54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.379864.3%513 W · 285 L+32.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65cf…5cdebacked Sentinels62c44.67$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178540%34 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Cloud952c37.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4382161%501 W · 320 L+1.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5091…477ebacked Cloud953c36.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2387…2a96backed Cloud953c36.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4411631%36 W · 80 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Cloud955c36.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0628250%141 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Cloud948c34.31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4718342.1%77 W · 106 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Cloud959c32.21$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0222955.5%127 W · 102 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6472…81e3backed Cloud953c31.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.488257.3%47 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Sentinels58c29.69$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4620764.7%134 W · 73 L+24.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xfa07…4593backed Cloud949c29.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.373135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76a…47c0backed Sentinels50c29.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5528756.1%161 W · 126 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd066…9eecbacked Cloud953c27.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.583961.5%24 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ecd…1da3backed Cloud953c27.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.584553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Cloud957c27.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4241651.2%213 W · 203 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Sentinels49c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.87558.7%44 W · 31 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x510e…b8e0backed Sentinels55c22.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.073537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid0%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Cloud948c22.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.592,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Sentinels51c20.34$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9769841.8%292 W · 406 L+46.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Sentinels52c19.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4818640.9%76 W · 110 L-14.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c64…929abacked Sentinels55c19.36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6916668.7%114 W · 52 L+22.2wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+18.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.