Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kansas Jayhawks vs. UCF Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f5480a49d728776340c99985d8c03dcbb1d21c4dbd96778f16d970504f351d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UCF Knightsof Kansas Jayhawks, UCF Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UCF Knights | 52c | 7,189$3,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,461.86 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Kansas Jayhawks | 23c | 5,230$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.75 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Kansas Jayhawks | 44c | 4,908$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.28 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 74c | 4,478$3,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,296.87 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdad9…6b63backed Kansas Jayhawks | 36c | 4,242$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.63 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Kansas Jayhawks | 57c | 3,200$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UCF Knights | 54c | 2,973$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.06 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 26c | 2,060$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.2 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed UCF Knights | 70c | 2,007$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.32 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UCF Knights | 68c | 1,952$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.14 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Kansas Jayhawks | 56c | 1,859$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.81 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kansas Jayhawks | 29c | 1,846$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.76 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83a…6bfcbacked UCF Knights | 26c | 1,604$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Kansas Jayhawks | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.77 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 66c | 1,274$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.78 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Kansas Jayhawks | 8c | 1,128$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Kansas Jayhawks | 42c | 1,068$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.93 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed UCF Knights | 35c | 1,010$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.06 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UCF Knights | 67c | 999.3$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.34 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Kansas Jayhawks | 12c | 912.43$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.76 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed UCF Knights | 71c | 857.97$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.8 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6e…167abacked UCF Knights | 59c | 847.76$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…9719backed Kansas Jayhawks | 40c | 738.73$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.13 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UCF Knights | 30c | 727.92$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.06 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Kansas Jayhawks | 40c | 624.7$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.92 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UCF Knights | 26c | 575$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.35 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Kansas Jayhawks | 64c | 531.25$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Kansas Jayhawks | 6c | 500$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Kansas Jayhawks | 22c | 478.57$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.25 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 19c | 404.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.7 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Kansas Jayhawks | 65c | 403.08$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked UCF Knights | 35c | 331.03$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.17 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed Kansas Jayhawks | 9c | 330$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kansas Jayhawks | 65c | 302$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.26 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec7…329bbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed UCF Knights | 37c | 260.03$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.01 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked UCF Knights | 45c | 250.45$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.94 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UCF Knights | 56c | 248.16$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Kansas Jayhawks | 56c | 245.3$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.04 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Kansas Jayhawks | 65c | 237.72$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.52 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Kansas Jayhawks | 17c | 225.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked UCF Knights | 34c | 211$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.26 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…6f4abacked UCF Knights | 50c | 209.3$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed UCF Knights | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Kansas Jayhawks | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked UCF Knights | 58c | 198$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Kansas Jayhawks | 14c | 191.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 7c | 159.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 94 | 12.8%12 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a4…7e2dbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 67c | 149.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed UCF Knights | 44c | 141.56$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.52 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Kansas Jayhawks | 16c | 141.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…32b3backed UCF Knights | 74c | 134.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked UCF Knights | 17c | 111.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.65 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked UCF Knights | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736e…3ac9backed Kansas Jayhawks | 25c | 99.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked UCF Knights | 36c | 86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked UCF Knights | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kansas Jayhawks | 56c | 73.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Kansas Jayhawks | 54c | 58.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed UCF Knights | 48c | 46.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 65c | 41.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed UCF Knights | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…1a69backed UCF Knights | 50c | 39.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed UCF Knights | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Kansas Jayhawks | 66c | 32.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Kansas Jayhawks | 41c | 27.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed UCF Knights | 57c | 24.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a08…0910backed Kansas Jayhawks | 51c | 23.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Kansas Jayhawks | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kansas Jayhawks | 64c | 21.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9723…5896backed UCF Knights | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kansas Jayhawks | 64c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. UCF Knightsthis page
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. UCF Knights: O/U 152.5Over won
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. UCF Knights: O/U 153.5Over won
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-4.5)UCF Knights won
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-5.5)UCF Knights won
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-6.5)UCF Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.