TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Galions
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$486,319
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$609,668

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $486,319 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 374 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3833…33d1backed Galions32c31,250$9,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,959.6364155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Galions10c22,222$2,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,333.351044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Natus Vincere68c18,897$12,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,047.0648742.3%206 W · 281 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…6b59backed Galions1c15,554$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.116511.5%19 W · 146 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+70.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Galions2c14,817$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.297869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Galions32c13,657$4,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,370.2855955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Galions14c12,126$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.812,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ea…832fbacked Galions33c10,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.9920339.9%81 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Galions40c6,900$2,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,755.3591854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Galions29c6,421$1,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,862.071,49054.6%813 W · 677 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed Galions37c6,000$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,219.9830845.1%139 W · 169 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Natus Vincere65c5,937$3,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.5218971.4%135 W · 54 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Natus Vincere65c5,477$3,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.567760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Galions30c4,848$1,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,454.4721144.5%94 W · 117 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Galions37c4,817$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782.2785836.2%311 W · 547 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Natus Vincere67c4,687$3,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534.7712642.9%54 W · 72 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Galions31c4,417$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.341,20643.5%525 W · 681 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Galions15c4,310$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.981,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9797…c193backed Natus Vincere69c4,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2404346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Natus Vincere74c3,541$2,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.521,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Natus Vincere64c3,450$2,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24245041.1%185 W · 265 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Galions6c3,307$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.391,05323.4%246 W · 807 L-76.9wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-50.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Galions32c3,250$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.9964749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Natus Vincere77c3,242$2,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.131,05447.2%497 W · 557 L-4.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Galions20c3,238$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65013538.5%52 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed Galions10c3,123$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.5197427.8%271 W · 703 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53a5…55dfbacked Natus Vincere75c3,123$2,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.9243358.2%252 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Natus Vincere67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99015046%69 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Galions33c2,750$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.781,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Natus Vincere31c2,729$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,883.18558.8%50 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac5…bb92backed Galions36c2,682$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.4311439.5%45 W · 69 L-11.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Natus Vincere68c2,673$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.3215364.1%98 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Natus Vincere68c2,548$1,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.9348143.2%208 W · 273 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked Natus Vincere73c2,500$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6751,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Natus Vincere68c2,496$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.5817839.3%70 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Galions34c2,353$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-38.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Natus Vincere68c2,200$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70423832.4%77 W · 161 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Galions35c2,157$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.8687844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Galions22c2,038$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.5139859.8%238 W · 160 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x092b…614ebacked Galions32c2,032$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65015644.2%69 W · 87 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed Galions11c2,031$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.689943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Natus Vincere78c2,013$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.161,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Natus Vincere69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6201,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5afe…af69backed Natus Vincere79c1,981$1,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Natus Vincere75c1,966$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.7278043.1%336 W · 444 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3389…5bcfbacked Natus Vincere70c1,922$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.553053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed94…c059backed Galions4c1,917$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8016623.5%39 W · 127 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Galions11c1,706$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.875942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4068…aeb1backed Natus Vincere68c1,697$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.0415431.8%49 W · 105 L-18.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-33.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Natus Vincere68c1,695$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.464243%276 W · 366 L-27.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Galions10c1,651$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.7894134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Galions19c1,610$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.832,33640.4%943 W · 1,393 L-58.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Galions32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005339.6%21 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe4…d0f1backed Natus Vincere69c1,558$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.984151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed Natus Vincere68c1,552$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.4423838.2%91 W · 147 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed Galions69c1,505$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.1612941.1%53 W · 76 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Galions20c1,500$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.952,82041.4%1,167 W · 1,653 L-14.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Galions30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45088950.5%449 W · 440 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Galions10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,20335.7%430 W · 773 L+6.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Galions28c1,497$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.2843539.5%172 W · 263 L-24.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Galions33c1,429$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.2738640.4%156 W · 230 L-17.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Natus Vincere70c1,410$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.9322142.5%94 W · 127 L-13.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Natus Vincere67c1,332$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.5828240.8%115 W · 167 L-16.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05d1…5418backed Galions16c1,317$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.956439.1%25 W · 39 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51f9…26f8backed Natus Vincere69c1,302$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.571650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Galions19c1,281$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.462,90338.5%1,119 W · 1,784 L-117.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb22a…a80dbacked Natus Vincere68c1,240$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.887157.7%41 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc700…31a1backed Natus Vincere68c1,233$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.855145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa7…db93backed Natus Vincere68c1,222$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.9623674.6%176 W · 60 L+17.9wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+10.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Galions13c1,187$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.1247838.7%185 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Natus Vincere68c1,176$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.4722757.3%130 W · 97 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Galions16c1,125$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.61,91742.3%810 W · 1,107 L-44.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked Natus Vincere70c1,100$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3302281.8%18 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick68cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x984c…e508backed Galions36c1,097$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.183534.3%12 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Galions17c1,085$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.431,89937.1%705 W · 1,194 L-113.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d29…8264backed Galions69c1,073$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Natus Vincere80c1,041$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.1722245.9%102 W · 120 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe607…eaa0backed Natus Vincere69c1,002$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.510467.3%70 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Natus Vincere68c1,001$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.0543238%164 W · 268 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Galions21c1,001$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.1144851.8%232 W · 216 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Natus Vincere71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29057945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Galions18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18050242.2%212 W · 290 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Natus Vincere67c999.99$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33047455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a4b…4a75backed Galions18c999.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1758751.7%45 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Natus Vincere69c999.98$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.9966059.8%395 W · 265 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Natus Vincere68c992.97$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.731,58743.8%695 W · 892 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x695d…0d7cbacked Galions17c963.6$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.2167553.5%361 W · 314 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb74…3fabbacked Natus Vincere63c952.35$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.3719052.6%100 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Natus Vincere67c934.78$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.4890337.5%339 W · 564 L-18.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Natus Vincere67c910$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.39457.4%54 W · 40 L+10.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+29.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed Galions11c887.98$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6833748.4%163 W · 174 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Natus Vincere77c884$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.322,18733.3%729 W · 1,458 L-71.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Natus Vincere70c881.21$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.3612260.7%74 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Natus Vincere74c877.28$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.2352848.9%258 W · 270 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Natus Vincere67c863.54$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.9731137.6%117 W · 194 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Natus Vincere69c800$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24889347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Galions31c790.32$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24525433.5%85 W · 169 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0309…3e4dbacked Natus Vincere68c763.81$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.421283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Natus Vincere69c759.98$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.191,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed Galions8c749.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6054246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.