Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9cc0080f80fce06e66a0812245d67ad20420929ac0a0b5dc04c2b7af3915b3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 56c | 2,250$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.17 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 44c | 2,034$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.14 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 65c | 505.23$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.92 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 37c | 395.65$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.39 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Over | 69c | 126.12$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…086abacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 43c | 105.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…f389backed Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 169 | 36.1%61 W · 108 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 23c | 67.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 37c | 62.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 251 | 54.2%136 W · 115 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…ee45backed Over | 47c | 42.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 44c | 38.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7421…ae44backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Over | 63c | 21.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5)Galions won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsNatus Vincere won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions - Game 2 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.