TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Galions
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$217,610
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$273,146

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,610 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xec92…6b59backed Galions0c38,980$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.816511.5%19 W · 146 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+70.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b49…04a8backed Natus Vincere80c15,218$12,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,044.8539964.4%257 W · 142 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed Galions8c7,435$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.7697427.8%271 W · 703 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ab…2f5abacked Galions2c6,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206934.8%24 W · 45 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Galions38c5,836$2,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,237.7959450.2%298 W · 296 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Galions7c5,140$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.6275942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Galions18c5,000$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.5791854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Galions20c4,258$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.642,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Galions13c4,100$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5339823.5%23 W · 75 L-10.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-46.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed Galions2c3,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6042050.5%212 W · 208 L+27.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Galions37c2,977$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.541,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39a7…bcb7backed Galions36c2,950$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0602055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Galions4c2,418$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10041945.1%189 W · 230 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Galions15c2,144$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.1319743.7%86 W · 111 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Galions6c2,128$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.362,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ac5…bb92backed Natus Vincere71c2,101$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.6111439.5%45 W · 69 L-11.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Galions5c2,000$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2594237.3%351 W · 591 L+51.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Galions8c1,996$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.737754.1%204 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Natus Vincere62c1,838$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.251,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Galions4c1,734$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.546637.6%175 W · 291 L-19.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed Galions12c1,705$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.689943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Galions15c1,615$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Galions5c1,555$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.311,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Galions7c1,550$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1686943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Galions40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6008558.8%50 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Natus Vincere60c1,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001,20835.8%432 W · 776 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ea…832fbacked Galions39c1,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58520339.9%81 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Galions13c1,434$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.2712840.6%52 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Galions14c1,421$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20076639.6%303 W · 463 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked Natus Vincere62c1,411$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.6776955%423 W · 346 L-13.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Natus Vincere73c1,115$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.022,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Natus Vincere63c1,111$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.077358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Galions15c1,002$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.225937.3%22 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Galions38c999.97$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.991,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Natus Vincere61c964.01$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.8596057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed Galions21c947.47$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.910736.4%39 W · 68 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Galions9c940.94$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9894134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Galions12c879.88$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.212,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Galions38c848.51$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.5444451.8%230 W · 214 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Galions10c830.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0247838.7%185 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1ba…a3d6backed Galions7c822.78$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.07119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick39cpaid-87.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Galions35c820$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.41,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Galions5c750$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.51,18352%615 W · 568 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked Galions39c750$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.51,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Galions5c749.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed Galions12c688$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5633748.4%163 W · 174 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Galions7c684.14$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3482836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Galions26c613.61$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.231,89937.1%705 W · 1,194 L-113.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Natus Vincere64c605.53$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.3340145.4%182 W · 219 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb22a…a80dbacked Natus Vincere63c560$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.27157.7%41 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Galions13c555.57$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7326635%93 W · 173 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Galions16c550.62$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5156432.1%181 W · 383 L-2.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Galions7c516.11$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.073,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Natus Vincere62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19014148.2%68 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed Natus Vincere62c484.84$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.8454246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Natus Vincere62c476.92$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.231,25154.1%677 W · 574 L-29.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x092b…614ebacked Natus Vincere70c474.25$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3815644.2%69 W · 87 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Natus Vincere75c467.9$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.151,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x739d…999bbacked Galions14c464.71$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.064057.5%23 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Natus Vincere65c461.96$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.051,46443.4%636 W · 828 L-32.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Natus Vincere62c459.14$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.4766059.8%395 W · 265 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Galions11c457.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.851,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Galions7c439.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.81,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked Galions5c438$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7824137.8%91 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x814b…2fa1backed Natus Vincere72c411.67$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.298365.1%54 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa01…944bbacked Galions13c403.9$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Natus Vincere61c400$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1551,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Galions5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2095048.5%461 W · 489 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Galions14c400$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.242852.3%224 W · 204 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Galions5c365$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2523832.4%77 W · 161 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Galions5c364.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1885652.2%447 W · 409 L+34.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56da…449ebacked Galions5c357.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8770%0 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5f6c…620bbacked Galions4c350$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1432566.5%216 W · 109 L+26.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed Natus Vincere62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.581,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b2…2745backed Galions8c321.81$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512030.8%37 W · 83 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Galions39c321.68$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4649847.2%235 W · 263 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cc0…7faabacked Galions18c316.67$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5711329.2%33 W · 80 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Galions11c315$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3664556.6%365 W · 280 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a99…51bbbacked Natus Vincere65c308.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1582650%413 W · 413 L+3.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Galions10c299.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.452,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f05…85c5backed Natus Vincere63c268.25$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2539861.8%246 W · 152 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Galions39c259.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029944.1%132 W · 167 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fa…ac8fbacked Galions4c250$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1163448.1%305 W · 329 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe432…934abacked Galions20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507237.5%27 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Galions18c249.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4515632.7%51 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Galions13c249.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.528240.4%114 W · 168 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Natus Vincere62c241.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.943850%19 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed Natus Vincere62c241.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9432954.4%179 W · 150 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked Natus Vincere67c224.8$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.825256.3%142 W · 110 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2417…86b1backed Galions12c207.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9417945.3%81 W · 98 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed Galions35c207.18$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.181,17547.4%557 W · 618 L+42.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Natus Vincere61c200$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.579745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc995…5e2ebacked Natus Vincere62c180.65$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6513060.8%79 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbf…c53cbacked Natus Vincere63c174.6$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.61361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Natus Vincere62c159.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0348847.3%231 W · 257 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8a72…c866backed Galions13c159.36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.735334%18 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked Natus Vincere62c159.03$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0327244.1%120 W · 152 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeaf…1972backed Galions36c153.25$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.17520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-49.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29e6…3365backed Natus Vincere62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5725368.4%173 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd2…34e9backed Galions40c145$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5877545%349 W · 426 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.