Lol · resolved market
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf22be8a5e3565a4e037f4c0d704f46feefb038e80db3223cb2546593364c2932
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Galions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $217,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $273,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Galions | 0c | 38,980$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.8 | 165 | 11.5%19 W · 146 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b49…04a8backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 15,218$12,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,044.85 | 399 | 64.4%257 W · 142 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed Galions | 8c | 7,435$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.76 | 974 | 27.8%271 W · 703 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ab…2f5abacked Galions | 2c | 6,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Galions | 38c | 5,836$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.79 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Galions | 7c | 5,140$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.62 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Galions | 18c | 5,000$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.57 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Galions | 20c | 4,258$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.64 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Galions | 13c | 4,100$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 98 | 23.5%23 W · 75 L | -10.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…8927backed Galions | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 420 | 50.5%212 W · 208 L | +27.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Galions | 37c | 2,977$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.54 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed Galions | 36c | 2,950$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Galions | 4c | 2,418$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 419 | 45.1%189 W · 230 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Galions | 15c | 2,144$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.13 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Galions | 6c | 2,128$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.36 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…bb92backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 2,101$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.61 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -11.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Galions | 5c | 2,000$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.25 | 942 | 37.3%351 W · 591 L | +51.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Galions | 8c | 1,996$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.7 | 377 | 54.1%204 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,838$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.25 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Galions | 4c | 1,734$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 466 | 37.6%175 W · 291 L | -19.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Galions | 12c | 1,705$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.6 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Galions | 15c | 1,615$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Galions | 5c | 1,555$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.31 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Galions | 7c | 1,550$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.16 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Galions | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1,208 | 35.8%432 W · 776 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ea…832fbacked Galions | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Galions | 13c | 1,434$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.27 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Galions | 14c | 1,421$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 766 | 39.6%303 W · 463 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,411$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.67 | 769 | 55%423 W · 346 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 1,115$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.02 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,111$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.07 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Galions | 15c | 1,002$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.22 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Galions | 38c | 999.97$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 964.01$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.85 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Galions | 21c | 947.47$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.9 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Galions | 9c | 940.94$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.98 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Galions | 12c | 879.88$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.21 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Galions | 38c | 848.51$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.54 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Galions | 10c | 830.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.02 | 478 | 38.7%185 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ba…a3d6backed Galions | 7c | 822.78$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 39cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Galions | 35c | 820$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.4 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Galions | 5c | 750$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1,183 | 52%615 W · 568 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked Galions | 39c | 750$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 1,218 | 48.7%593 W · 625 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Galions | 5c | 749.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed Galions | 12c | 688$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.56 | 337 | 48.4%163 W · 174 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Galions | 7c | 684.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Galions | 26c | 613.61$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.23 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 605.53$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.33 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…a80dbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 560$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.2 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Galions | 13c | 555.57$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 266 | 35%93 W · 173 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Galions | 16c | 550.62$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.51 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Galions | 7c | 516.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 484.84$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.84 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 476.92$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.23 | 1,251 | 54.1%677 W · 574 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x092b…614ebacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 474.25$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.38 | 156 | 44.2%69 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 467.9$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.15 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…999bbacked Galions | 14c | 464.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.06 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 461.96$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.05 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 459.14$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.47 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Galions | 11c | 457.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Galions | 7c | 439.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked Galions | 5c | 438$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 241 | 37.8%91 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814b…2fa1backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 411.67$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.29 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…944bbacked Galions | 13c | 403.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 400$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Galions | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Galions | 14c | 400$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 428 | 52.3%224 W · 204 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Galions | 5c | 365$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Galions | 5c | 364.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 856 | 52.2%447 W · 409 L | +34.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…449ebacked Galions | 5c | 357.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…620bbacked Galions | 4c | 350$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 325 | 66.5%216 W · 109 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b2…2745backed Galions | 8c | 321.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 30.8%37 W · 83 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Galions | 39c | 321.68$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.46 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Galions | 18c | 316.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Galions | 11c | 315$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 645 | 56.6%365 W · 280 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…51bbbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 308.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 826 | 50%413 W · 413 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Galions | 10c | 299.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…85c5backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 268.25$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.25 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Galions | 39c | 259.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 299 | 44.1%132 W · 167 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…ac8fbacked Galions | 4c | 250$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 634 | 48.1%305 W · 329 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Galions | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Galions | 18c | 249.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 156 | 32.7%51 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Galions | 13c | 249.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 329 | 54.4%179 W · 150 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 224.8$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 252 | 56.3%142 W · 110 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2417…86b1backed Galions | 12c | 207.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Galions | 35c | 207.18$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.18 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 200$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…5e2ebacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 180.65$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.65 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 174.6$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 159.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 488 | 47.3%231 W · 257 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a72…c866backed Galions | 13c | 159.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 159.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.03 | 272 | 44.1%120 W · 152 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeaf…1972backed Galions | 36c | 153.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29e6…3365backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 253 | 68.4%173 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…34e9backed Galions | 40c | 145$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 775 | 45%349 W · 426 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5)Galions won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsNatus Vincere won
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions - Game 2 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.